Hey, I’m Cramer. Exciting weekend of NFL action in Week 16 with three consecutive days of NFL action starting on Friday, a three game slate on Saturday and full day of games on Sunday. DraftKings is in the Holiday Spirit as they are rolling out two Fantasy Football Millionaire Contests this weekend, one for Saturday and one for Sunday.
This week’s article is a bit different than past weeks. Instead of our normal player prop suggestion, we are replacing it with a captain’s chair pick for the Saturday Showdown contest. Plus our Cash and GPP picks are also dedicated to the three games on Saturday.
And always remember, some people are trying to make friends, I’m just here to help you make some money!
Cash Game: Kyler Murray ($7,500) vs. 49ers:
Murray has simply been incredible this season. He’s averaging 27.6 fantasy points per game and is coming off one of his best performances of the season (38.14 points). Arizona faced off against San Francisco earlier in the season (Week 1) and Murray passed for 230 yards, ran for 91 yards, passed for a touchdown and ran in a score. That was his first game playing with superstar wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins ($8,300) — needless to say, those two have developed quite the chemistry since their first time out on the field together.
GPP: Tom Brady ($6,800) vs. Lions:
Brady comes out a slightly better cost than Murray ($700 less) and has a much better match-up. We could make the argument that the Tampa Bay passer should be both the pick for GPP and Cash games, but we like diversified lineups just like we like diversified portfolios. Plus, the game stack options for Brady are much more attractive for GPP contests. The Lions have allowed the second-most points to quarterbacks in the last five weeks, including 12 touchdowns — which is the third most over that timeframe. With an Over/Under of 53.5, the Bucs-Lions matchups is projected to be the highest scoring game of the day.
Saturday Night Showdown Captain Chair: Tua Tagovailoa ($15,600):
If inclined to go with a QB in the captains chair for the $500,000 Saturday Night Showdown contest, don’t waste your time with either of the Raiders passers. Sure, Marcus Mariota (CP $15,000) looked good running the ball last week when he took over for the injured Derek Carr (CP $15,000), but the Dolphins defense is one of the most underrated units in the NFL. Miami is first in the league in scoring defense, allowing their opponents to avenge just 18.4 points.
Cash Game: Leonard Fournette ($5,500) vs. Lions:
Starting running back Ronald Jones is unlikely to play in Week 16 according to Head Coach Bruce Arians. That puts Fournette right back in the spotlight in Tampa Bay’s backfield. When Jones missed action last week, Fournette saw 14 attempts and five targets come his way, which resulted in 49 yards on the ground, two touchdowns, and three catches for 16 yards. Gladly would take another 21.5 point performance from the Bucs running back.
GPP: Myles Gaskin ($5,300) vs. Raiders:
The Dolphins starting running back is back in the lineup after missing some action due to COVID-19. What a perfect time to get back since he has a fantastic match-up against a terrible Raiders rush defense. Las Vegas has allowed eight touchdowns to running backs the last five weeks, no other team has allowed more than six.
Saturday Night Showdown Captain Chair: Salvon Ahmed ($12,300) vs. Raiders:
The Raiders defense is so pitiful against the run we’re considering using both Ahmed and Gaskin in our GPP lineups. But since there’s only one spot for the Captain’s Chair in the showdown format, why not go with the running back with the projected lower ownership?With the media focusing on Gaskin’s return, Ahmed will be overlooked, but both of these running backs will have success on Saturday night, so using Ahmed over Gaskin as the Captain is a great way to create separation from the masses.
Cash Game: Mike Evans ($6,100) vs. Lions:
More than $2,000 less than DeAndre Hopkins ($8,300), Evans is in a smash spot against a weak Lions secondary. Any of the Bucs receivers could be picked for your GPP Game Stacks, but if focusing on cash games, Evans has been the most consistent of the Tampa Bay trio of pass catchers. With an Over/Under of 53.5, the Bucs-Lions game is projected to be the highest scoring game of the day and Evans is the primary redzone target for Tom Brady. Evans has 18 targets inside the 20, which is the third-most in the NFL, and no other Tampa Bay receiver has more than seven.
GPP: Marvin Jones ($4,900) vs. Buccaneers:
Jones is a great option for the other side of the Tampa Bay and Detroit game stack. If loading up up on Tom Brady and company, using Jones on the other side as the explosive Detroit playmaker plays into the expected game script. Even with Matthew Stafford a bit banged up, Jones had 10 catches for 112 yards and a score in Week 15. And the match-up is something to get excited about considering the only team giving up more points to receivers in the last five games than the Lions is none other than their Week 16 opponent.
Saturday Night Showdown Captain Chair: Nelson Agholor ($10,800) vs. Dolphins:
When it comes to explosive playmakers from the Dolphins or Raiders, no one really jumps off the page except for Darren Waller (spoiler alert he’s our pick in the next section). But while Agholor’s total of 12 catches of over 20 yards doesn’t rank in the top 20 across the NFL, it’s most of any receiver playing in this match-up (DeVante Parker and Henry Ruggs have eight). With 28 targets in the last three games, Agholor’s involvement in the Raiders passing attack will remain vital to their success, regardless if it’s Marcus Mariota or Derek Carr is under-center.
Cash Game: T.J. Hockenson ($4,600) vs. Bucs:
Hockenson didn’t just have a down game in Week 15, it was his worst statistical performance of the year. He broke his streak of four straight games with double-digit fantasy points by putting up a complete dud with just two catches for 18 yards. But Hockenson has proven time and time again that he’s one of the most consistent tight ends of 2020. His Week 15 outing was just his second bad performance of the year. Tampa Bay has allowed tight ends to score in each of their last two games — and in the last three games, they’ve allowed 15 catches for 145 yards to the position.
GPP and Saturday Night Showdown Captain’s Chair: Darren Waller ($7,000) vs. Dolphins:
The Raiders’ explosive playmaker is averaging 29 fantasy points the last three weeks. Waller (CP $15,900) has 29 catches, 425 yards, and three touchdowns since Week 13. For some perspective, Travis Kelce ($8,500) has the same amount of touchdowns but 85 less yards and five less catches. While we do like Nelson Agholor as a potential option for the Captains’ Chair, Waller is the Raiders passing attack and is the closest player to a sure thing on Saturday’s slate.
Happy Holidays, and good luck in Week 16!
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Jim Cramer is the host of “Mad Money with Jim Cramer” and co-anchor of CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street.” He is also an author and a co-founder of BullMarketFantasy.com.