One day after a Monday Night Football doubleheader, we get Tuesday Night Football! Here’s what jumps out for Tuesday on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Jackson missed last week’s game while on the COVID-19 list, so we’ll have to see what kind of shape he’s in, but I think that gives us a discount on his props in this game. This passing yardage number is pretty light against a Swiss cheese Dallas pass defense, and the numbers prove it. Jackson has gone over this number through the air in eight of his 10 games, and the Cowboys have only held opposing quarterbacks under 180 yards three times in 11 games. As we’ve been seeing late in the season with these larger point spreads, I do think the dog could stick around for a while in this one, setting up a game script where Jackson is still throwing late.
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I’m convinced that Dez is going to make sure he gets his revenge on the Cowboys. And because we have close to no data on Bryant this season, the props are insanely low. Bryant was shut out at Pittsburgh last week on two targets, but that was with backups throwing him the ball. In his first game back in the NFL in Week 11 against Tennessee, Dez snagged four of five targets for 28 yards with Jackson on the field. Of course, the motivation to help Bryant put up some numbers in this game will be there, but this depleted WR group for the Ravens actually needs Dez as well. The Cowboys are pretty soft in the secondary, and without some starters. Think about how little Dez can do to win us all of these bets. A 3-35-1 line hits all three, with two for plus money. Obviously, sprinkle on the TD scorer prop a little smaller.
Editor’s Note: Dez Bryant has been ruled out for tonight’s game after testing positive for COVID-19.
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I have to take the value here, no matter how bad of a season ‘Zeke may be having. He’s still a workhorse back, and the Ravens aren’t all that daunting against the run — they rank 13th, allowing 111.6 yards per game. Elliott has some tough outings in his recent game log, but two matchups with Washington and one against Pittsburgh are pretty unfavorable. I think we’ll see a solid game here. On the flip side, Dobbins is getting too much respect. The rookie did go for 70 yards on 15 carries the last time he played in Week 11, and then missed last week on the COVID-19 list, along with Mark Ingram. Week 11 was just the second time this season that Dobbins has rushed for more than 48 yards. Returning from COVID-19 and sharing carries with Ingram and Gus Edwards doesn’t seem like it gives him a great shot to out-rush ‘Zeke. If you do think Dobbins has locked down the starting role, but don’t want to bet him in a matchup against Elliott, you can also go another way. Edwards rushing attempts is set at 8.5. He carried nine times last week with both Dobbins and Ingram out, so an under there makes sense.
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