As the English Premier League (EPL) season moves towards its conclusion, a lot of key issues remain unresolved. At the top, points are at a premier for teams hoping to play Champions League football next season while at the bottom, staying one point above the relegation zone is what matters at the end of the season. Aston Villa can heap plenty of pressure on their relegation rivals Watford and West Ham - who play each other on Friday - if they can win at Everton. Meanwhile, the battle for fourth spot between Leicester and Manchester United continues with games against Sheffield United and Crystal Palace, respectively.
Below, I will take a look at some bets that I think are worth considering for today’ EPL slate. Soccer fans can get in on the EPL betting action by downloading the DK Sportsbook app or heading over to the DraftKings Sportsbook website.
Aston Villa fighting for a victory that will boost their survival hopes
This fixture has produced goals in recent seasons. Villa’s last six visits to Everton have seen three or more total goals scored, including a 4-0 loss on their last trip. However, neither Everton nor Aston Villa have been prolific in front of goal in recent weeks, which might reduce this to a low-scoring game. Everton has scored four goals in their last eight games while Villa has managed four goals in their last nine matches, so this has all the ingredients to be a dull game.
There weren’t many goals in the first meeting this season in Birmingham, which Aston Villa won 2-0 thanks to goals in each half from Wesley and Anwar El Ghazi. Everton was awful in their 3-0 loss at Wolves on Sunday and looked as though they had started their summer vacation early.
The last six meetings between these two sides at Goodison Park have produced under 2.5 total goals (-106). Villa has not won a Premier League game at Goodison Park since winning 3-2 in December 2008. Since then, they have drawn the next four and lost the last three.
Bet: Under 2.5 total goals (-106)
Leicester cannot afford another slip up against Sheffield United
Leicester’s second half collapse at Bournemouth on Sunday — where they lost 4-1 after leading 1-0 with 25 minutes remaining — could hinder their chances of finishing in the top four and having a place in next season’s Champions League. This home game against Sheffield United is a chance for the players to redeem themselves for their embarrassing display in the final half hour of Sunday’s game. Victory at home against the Blades will see them keep hold of fourth spot, but with Manchester United level with them before this game, the margin of error for Brendan Rodgers’s side is very small.
The visitors dropped to eighth place in the standings following Tottenham’s win at Newcastle, which leaves the Blades needing to win this game to keep their Europa League hopes alive. United won their last two matches to nil, and if Leicester isn’t switched on like they should be, this could be a third consecutive shutout win (+550) for Chris Wilder’s side.
Sheffield United and Leicester have both scored two or more goals in just two of their last nine games each. Both teams to score is unlikely to happen (-118) if recent games are an indicator. BTTS has not landed in Leicester’s last four home EPL matches, while United’s last two league games have been won to nil.
Bet: Under 2.5 total goals (-148)
Manchester United to take frustrations out on Palace’s leaky defense
Manchester United will feel they should have climbed into third place in the standings after their home game with Southampton on Monday, but an injury time goal with a defender off the pitch receiving treatment for a head injury denied them the victory. This means they cannot take anything for granted in their remaining fixtures, which will force them to play attacking football.
Crystal Palace looks as though they have given up on the season and are aiming to halt a run of five straight losses. The problem for Palace is that the visitors enjoy their trips to Selhurst Park, a ground they have not lost in 12 visits. United has showcased better form than their hosts. Monday’s draw extended United’s unbeaten run to 18 in all competitions and they are favorites to leave London with at least a draw (+410), if not the win (-315).
Palace had one of the best defenses in the league with 13 goals conceded in 13 games before leaking 13 in their last five. United’s potent attack, which has scored 16 goals in their last five matches, will be keen to take their frustration out after dropping two points against Southampton. Nine of the last 13 goals United has scored have come in the first half and they have scored in the first half in nine of their last 10. United has led at halftime in their last five and will be well back to lead at the interval (-134) in this fixture.
Over 2.5 total goals (-139) has landed in United’s last three trips to Palace and their last two away games in recent weeks. Palace’s last home game saw five total goals scored, but unfortunately for the Eagles, Chelsea scored three of them.
Bet: Over 2.5 total goals (-139)
Brighton can secure survival with a win in the south coast derby
Several months ago, this fixture looked like a relegation battle. However, Southampton has already secured their place in next season’s competition and Brighton can edge closer to joining them if they beat their south coast neighbors. With that in mind, Brighton may adopt a cautious approach at St Mary’s, hoping to nick a goal perhaps from a set-piece or a counter attack.
Three of the last four meetings between these two sides at Southampton have ended in a tie (+225). Southampton is looking to buck a trend in which the home side in this fixture has not won any of the last six meetings. Under 2.5 total goals (-124) has not occurred in Southampton’s last four home games and it has not landed in Brighton’s last four away from the Amex Stadium.
Southampton has been in a good run of form, winning two and drawing two of their last four. They rescued a point in a 2-2 tie at Manchester United on Monday deep into injury time. It was the fourth consecutive game in which the Saints scored the first goal and they are favorites to open the scoring (-152) against a Brighton side that has scored first in just one of their last 12 EPL matches.
Both teams to score (-136) has not happened in Southampton’s last four home games and it hasn’t occurred in Brighton’s last three away games. Incidentally, Southampton won 2-0 at the Amex with their two goals coming after Brighton had Florin Andone sent off after half an hour.
Bet: Under 2.5 total goals (-124)
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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