We’re all in need of some entertainment during these times of the unknown. DraftKings is doing its part by offering Madden simulations with a variety of teams going at it. For this piece, we’ll focus on the Jaguars vs. Raiders game, which starts at 4:00 p.m. ET on Friday, July 17.
Note: All salaries will be Flex prices unless noted as Captain’s Pick prices.
Gardner Minshew ($10,000) is one of three players in this game with at least a $10K salary. He bounced back very well from a disaster start against the Jets to post 23.8 DKFP in his last matchup against the Colts. Minshew threw for three touchdowns and 297 passing yards, which is more along the line from what we’ve seen from him frequently. Against one of the worst secondaries in these simulations, Minshew should easily be in the 20 DKFP range once again.
This is going to be a game where you want some fairly heavy exposure to the Jaguars’ receivers. Who better to start that with than DJ Chark Jr. ($10,400)? He’s the most expensive receiver by a long shot, but this is someone who has 25 touchdowns scored to go with 3.9 receptions and 66 receiving yards per game. After a stretch of games where he wasn’t scoring at all, Chark now has three TDs in his last four games. He and James O’Shaughnessy ($7,200) have been the two most consistent receivers in this Jags offense. O’Shaughnessy is averaging 4.1 receptions with 55.1 yards but only 11 touchdowns scored. Regardless, he sees enough to warrant a spot on your roster, as this Raiders coverage isn’t going to give much push back. I’m usually off Dede Westbrook ($6,600) because he’s more expensive than I’d like to pay for but again, his matchup is just too good. His volume is light at 3.3 receptions and 44 yards per game but it’s hard to envision these receivers struggling in this spot. Marquise Lee ($4,200) is your salary saver for the receivers but he’s not a guarantee to do anything. He’s seeing just 2.3 receptions and 32 yards per game, making him the riskiest Jaguar receiver you could take.
I’m truly on the fence about Leonard Fournette ($9,400) in this game. A lot of attention will be on the Jaguars’ receivers and rightfully so. I feel as if Minshew should have plenty of success through the air, so I’m not quite sure that Fournette will see the usual workload we’ve become accustomed to. With that in mind, I think he’s better left on the board in this spot simply because I’d rather be paying up for Minshew and Chark.
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The one positive fact you can say about Derek Carr ($11,000) is that the guy is always throwing. However, it’s usually because his team is getting blown out and he’s trying to do what he can to catch up. Him being the most expensive player in this game is a bit puzzling but to his credit, his 17.8 DKFP average is the highest in the game. Overall, he’s averaging 250 passing yards and 65 touchdowns thrown. I’m still leaning Minshew in this spot if having to choose but if you can use both, it would absolutely be worth it.
Darren Waller ($8,800) has been the volume king in this offense, averaging 4.5 receptions with 63.2 yards and 15 touchdowns scored. He’s been completely boom-or-bust as of late, averaging just 11.4 DKFP over his last five games. On this offense though, he has the capability to pop more than others, as evidenced recently by a five catch, 109-yard game against the Colts, scoring 18.9 DKFP. Tyrell Williams ($8,400) has the speed and the WR1 designation on the depth chart. He’s scored at least 28 DKFP in two of his last four games, going over 100 receiving yards in both. He’ll rack up the yardage with an average of 67.8 per game to go with his 4.1 receptions. These two are the primary focus of this offense so if you want some exposure, look no further than these guys. While this isn’t to say you can’t use the other receivers, guys like Hunter Renfrow ($3,800) and Zay Jones ($5,600) are a bit riskier. Jones would be my pick of the two as he has 17 touchdowns to his name. However, especially lately, he’s been in single-digit fantasy points if he’s not scoring. The touchdown upside is great but the receptions don’t always follow.
Jalen Richard ($4,800) saw a massive jump in his salary, which makes his appeal diminish. Don’t get me wrong, he’s still a great option in their backfield, averaging 43 scrimmage yards per game with eight touchdowns scored. However, it was much more enticing when he was in the mid $2K range, not nearly $5K. I imagine this will bring his ownership back to a reasonable level so if you need someone in the mid-tier range, he can still be your guy.
Final Score: Jaguars 27, Raiders 21
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.