We’re all in need of some entertainment during these times of the unknown. DraftKings is doing its part by offering Madden simulations with a variety of teams going at it. For this piece, we’ll focus on the three-game late slate on Sunday, which starts at 6:00 p.m. ET.
Deshaun Watson, HOU at SF, $7,700 - Watson is $800 more expensive than any other QB on this three-game slate, but you’d better believe he’s worth that price. The Clemson product has managed to exceed 20.0 DKFP in seven of his past nine games which means, for the “season” as a whole, Watson’s now scored 20-plus DKFP in 61.1% of Houston’s 36 simulations. That’s a pretty safe way to start a lineup, even against San Francisco’s ferocious defense.
Mitchell Trubisky, CHI vs. BUF, $5,900 - There’s a case to be made that Josh Allen ($6,200) could wind up being the better play. However, why not take a shot with the cheaper option that’s averaged 20.3 DKFP across the Bears’ 36 streams? The two pivots are very similar in how they produce fantasy points, both using their ability to scramble to separate themselves from the pack. In fact, Trubisky has rushed for three touchdowns in his past five games and 13 touchdowns overall.
Ezekiel Elliott, DAL vs. MIN, $6,900 - There’s a clear tier of three running backs at the top of the pricing list but Elliott’s the best of the bunch. The former first-round pick has managed to exceed 20.0 DKFP 10 times in Dallas’ previous simulations but, more importantly, he’s also eclipsed 17.0 DKFP in exactly half of those 36 contests. There’s just a level of ceiling and floor that Elliott provides that is uncommon in these streams.
Tarik Cohen, CHI vs. BUF, $4,900 - I really don’t want a ton of exposure to this matchup, but Cohen’s at a fair price considering his role. The pass-catching back has managed to score double-digit DKFP in 14 of Chicago’s 36 simulations coming into Sunday’s slate, while his 15 total touchdowns are three times as many as his more expensive teammate David Montgomery ($5,000). It’s a pretty easy decision between the two.
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Adam Thielen, MIN at DAL, $6,000 - Thielen’s been about as consistent a DFS asset as physically possible in these streams, eclipsing 14.0 DKFP in 63.9% of Minnesota’s prior 36 streams coming into this slate. More recently, the wideout has been able to catch at least five passes in eight consecutive simulations, a span of time in which Thielen has also posted six receiving touchdowns.
Deebo Samuel, SF vs. HOU, $4,100 - Samuel didn’t have a great showing against Seattle on Friday but in his second-most recent performance the rookie went off for eight catches, 136 yards and two touchdowns versus New England. That’s obviously an enticing ceiling for the wideout but equalling appealing, especially at this price, is his floor. Samuel’s managed to exceed 10.0 DKFP 22 times in this “season” so far.
George Kittle, SF vs. HOU, $6,000 - Surprisingly, Kittle’s only found the end zone twice in the 49ers’ past 25 simulations. But on a slate lacking talent at the tight end position, you could do worse than the All-Pro’s elevated floor. Kittle’s exceeded 15.0 DKFP on 15 different occasions in these streams and he’s averaged 15.7 DKFP in the games he’s gotten to play in San Francisco.
Tyler Kroft, BUF at CHI, $3,600 - As mentioned above, this crop of tight ends is pretty underwhelming, so why not try and save as much money as possible at the position? Kroft is the cheapest starting TE on this slate, yet he leads Buffalo in receptions (145) and receiving yards (1,587). If he can sneak his way into the end zone, he’ll change the context of this contest.
Vikings, MIN at DAL, $2,500 - This is an easy call. Though the Vikings’ D/ST is only the fourth-most expensive unit on this slate, the team leads all available defenses in turnovers forced (34), sacks (80) and defensive touchdowns (5). With X-Factor players like Harrison Smith and Everson Griffen patrolling the field, Minnesota is always in good hands.
Bills, BUF at CHI, $2,100 - This matchup between the Bills and Bears seems like it’s destined to be low-scoring. That’s already making this unit enticing and that’s before I’ve even mentioned that Buffalo’s 17 interceptions lead all defenses on this slate. It should also be noted that Trubisky has lost 12 fumbles so far in these streams, one of the few consequences of his scrambling.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theglt13) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.