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Fantasy Baseball Picks: Top DraftKings MLB DFS Targets, Values for July 28

Greg Ehrenberg gives his top studs and value plays at each position for Tuesday’s fantasy baseball slate on DraftKings, which starts at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Angels v Oakland Athletics Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

MLB baseball is back! While the KBO held us over for a few months, we have to be honest and say it isn’t as good as the real thing. Now that we can watch baseball during hours that we are normally awake, it’s a great time to get in on some DraftKings MLB action.

Set your DraftKings lineups here: MLB $500K Relay Throw [$100K to 1st]


PITCHER

Stud

Walker Buehler, LAD at HOU, $11,300 - Rejoice! We have a pitching option on tonight’s slate that doesn’t suck. This wasn’t the case last night. The most expensive pitcher on Monday’s slate (Mike Foltynewicz) pitched so poorly that he lost his spot on the Braves’ roster shortly after the game ended. Today we can roster an elite starting pitcher in Buehler. Now here’s the bad news, he has a really tough matchup pitching in Houston. Despite this, he’s a far more talented pitcher than the other options on the slate and Buehler should be able to offset runs allowed with his high strikeout rate. He whiffed 10.61 hitters per nine innings last year. We just need to look out for any pitch restrictions since this is Buehler’s first outing of the season.

Value

Jeff Samardzija, SF vs. SD, $6,500 - Looking at his numbers, I was pleasantly surprised to see that Samardzija wasn’t nearly as bad as I remembered him being last season. He had a 3.52 ERA and has the benefit of pitching at home in one of the most pitcher friendly parks in baseball. I don’t necessary love Samardzija, but the cheap pitching on this slate don’t inspire a ton of confidence. At least in Samardzija, we get a cheap pitcher at home in a reasonable matchup. The Padres had the second-highest strikeout rate of any team in baseball last year against right-handed pitching and had an 83 wRC+.


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CATCHER

Stud

Wilson Ramos, NYM at BOS, $3,700 - Coming off his best game of the young season, Ramos should probably be a bit more expensive against Matt Hall ($4,900). In limited appearances last year, Hall had a 7.71 ERA and Ramos is one of the best catchers in the league against left-handed pitching. Against southpaws last season, Ramos had a 151 wRC+ and he should have a favorable matchup throughout this game. Not only does Hall profile as a weak starter, the Red Sox have one of the worst bullpens in the American League.

Value

Salvador Perez, KC at DET, $2,800 - This is a crazy cheap price for an All-Star caliber backstop in Perez. Coming into the season, I had some concerns about Perez after he missed all of last season. He’s quickly put those to rest, opening the season with a 168 wRC+ and he’s already launched a pair of homers. It shouldn’t be long until Perez is once again one of the most expensive DFS catchers.


FIRST BASE

Stud

Pete Alonso, NYM at BOS, $5,500 - I am almost never going to turn down rostering Alonso against a weak left-handed pitcher. After his season got off to a slow start, he finally hit his first homer of the season last night. As a rookie, Alonso set a record by mashing 53 homers and there should be plenty more of them coming from his bat. He had a 141 wRC+ against left-handed pitching last year.

Value

C.J. Cron, DET vs. KC, $3,300 - Cron has enough power upside that he’s always worth rostering when he’s at this cheap of a price. Sure, playing with the Tigers isn’t nearly as sweet as a fantasy situation as he had playing for the Twins last year, but to this point, it hasn’t mattered. Cron has already hit a pair of homers this season and is sporting a 195 wRC+.


SECOND BASE

Stud

Keston Hiura, MIL at PIT, $4,300 - One of the top young second baseman in baseball, I am expecting a big year from Hiura. In his rookie season, he was super impressive and put up a 139 wRC+. For fantasy purposes, what stood out the most was that he hit 19 homers and stole nine bases in just 84 games. In addition, it never hurts to have a matchup against Derek Holland ($6,100). He had a 6.08 ERA last year and allowed a .406 wOBA to right-handed hitters.

Value

Kike Hernandez, LAD at HOU, $3,000 - Hernandez is off to a great start this season. He has a 138 wRC+ and has been a lefty masher throughout his career. This sets him up for success tonight against Framber Valdez ($7,800), who had a 5.86 ERA last season. Hernandez has already hit a homer off a lefty this year and he has a career 124 wRC+ against southpaws.


THIRD BASE

Stud

Anthony Rendon, LAA vs. SEA, $5,200 - It is finally happening. Reports indicate that Rendon is expected to make his Angels’ debut tonight. We just need to check the lineup to make sure his starting since he’s missed the first few games of the year with an oblique injury. With Rendon in the lineup, the Angels should have a juggernaut of an offense. Rendon’s counting stats should benefit from playing with the likes of Mike Trout ($6,000). It’s not like Rendon was a slouch in the past either. He was one of the most valuable players in baseball a year ago and led all third baseman in 2019 with an average of 10.6 DKFP.

Value

Colin Moran, PIT vs. MIL, $3,000 - Moran has come out of the gates scorching hot. After hitting a pair of homers yesterday, he’s tied for the league lead with three long balls and has a 311 wRC+. Even though he won’t keep up this pace, Moran has been a decent hitter during his time in the big leagues against right-handed pitching and his salary hasn’t gone up since the start of the season despite his hot hitting.


SHORTSTOP

Stud

Xander Bogaerts, BOS vs. NYM, $4,000 - This is about a cheap a price that we ever see on Bogaerts. A slow start likely contributed to him getting priced down, but he homered last night shortly after salaries dropped for tonight’s slate, so I don’t think there is cause to be concerned about Bogaerts’ slumping. A year ago, he was one of the most productive fantasy shortstops, averaging 9.9 DKFP while hitting 33 homers. The Mets are expected to go with a bullpen game tonight and it’s well documented how poorly their pen has performed over the last few years.

Value

Adalberto Mondesi, KC at DET, $3,400 - It’s been a miserable start to the year for the speedy shortstop. Even so, all he needs to do is get on base once to have a huge fantasy game. Mondesi swiped 43 bases last year and is favored to lead the league in stolen bases this year. Since he doesn’t get on base a ton, he’s always going to be risky for fantasy purposes. I wouldn’t play him in a cash game, but in GPPs, he can easily break the slate at this cheap of a salary.


OUTFIELD

Stud

Mike Trout, LAA vs. SEA, $6,000 - Yes, I know. Listing Trout as a play isn’t the boldest of calls. I am really excited to see him finally get to play with some great offensive talent around him. Assuming that Rendon is in the lineup tonight, this should easily be the best offense that Trout has been a part of. He will finally have some players around him that help boost his counting stats. It also shouldn’t be overlooked how good of a matchup the Angels are in tonight. They are going up against Justus Sheffield ($8,200), who has struggled to perform at the MLB level. The former top prospect has a 5.82 ERA in the big leagues.

Value

Whit Merrifield, KC at DET, $3,800 - Merrifield figures to draw some attention after he scored 32 DKFP last night. Not only was he great as a popular play yesterday, his salary has actually gone down. Merrifield has started his season with a 236 wRC+ and finds himself in another easy matchup tonight. Bryan Garcia ($4,000) is the listed starter for Detroit and he had a 12.15 ERA in limited innings last year.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.