As long as there are no more COVD-19 outbreaks, Tuesday is shaping up to be a busy day in baseball. There will be 10 games making up the main evening slate on DraftKings, leaving us with a bevy of options to choose from. Let’s highlight some value plays who could prove to be profitable.
SP Josh Lindblom, MIL at PIT, $5,100
Despite so many games to choose from, most of the starting pitching options for this slate are dreadful. With that in mind, it might be a sound strategy to go really cheap for at least one of your starting pitchers so you can spend more on hitters. Since there are a lot of bad pitchers scheduled to take the mound, we could see several high-scoring affairs.
One of the cheapest pitchers on the board is Lindblom. He returns to the majors after pitching in the KBO the last two years. He may have found something there, posting ERAs of 2.88 and 2.50, respectively. He also allowed only 29 total home runs across 363 1/3 innings. The Pirates’ lineup leaves a lot to be desired, especially after they traded away Starling Marte, so Lindblom could provide sneaky value.
2B/3B David Fletcher, LAA vs. SEA, $3,200
Fletcher is a pesky hitter. He doesn’t have much power, but he batted .290 last year with a paltry 9.7% strikeout rate. He has an ideal matchup Tuesday against Justus Sheffield ($8,200), who has a bloated 1.78 WHIP during his brief career in the majors. With eligibility at two different positions, Fletcher also provides some flexibility while crafting your entry. Don’t be surprised if he finds his way on base a couple of times in this matchup.
SS Adalberto Mondesi, KC at DET, $3,400
Mondesi’s upside is off the charts. He showed what a dual-threat he can be in 2018, slugging 14 home runs and stealing 32 bases over just 75 games. His speed was still there with 43 stolen bases across 102 games in 2019, but his power numbers declined with just nine home runs. Injuries have hampered his career so far, but if he can stay healthy, he can go off any given night. With the Tigers potentially going with a bullpen game for this matchup, rolling with Mondesi could be well worth the risk at this price.
OF JaCoby Jones, DET vs. KC, $3,400
If you’re looking to ride a hot hand, look no further than Jones. He’s locked into an everyday role with the Tigers and already have five hits across their first four games, two of which were home runs. The Royals could use a combination of Glenn Sparkman ($5,500) and Jorge Lopez ($5,200) to get through the bulk of the innings in this contest, neither of which has had much success in the majors. This is setting up to be a favorable opportunity for Jones to keep up his recent run of success.
OF Kevin Pillar, BOS vs. NYM, $3,300
The Mets have yet to officially name a starter as of early Tuesday morning, but it’s expected that left-handed pitcher David Peterson ($7,000) will either start or pitch the bulk of the innings in this contest. Facing the Red Sox in Fenway Park is a tall order for a young player who has never pitched above Double-A. If he does indeed start, then Pillar could be included in the starting lineup with Alex Verdugo ($3,000) shifting to the bench. Pillar was much better against lefties last year, posting a 105 wRC+ against them compared to a 78 wRC+ versus righties.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is mbarner51) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.