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Fantasy Baseball Stacks: Top DraftKings MLB DFS Offenses to Target for July 28

Garion Thorne gives his top offenses to target for Tuesday’s DraftKings MLB slate, which locks at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Angels v Oakland Athletics Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

While Monday’s main slate was plagued by weather concerns (among other things), it would seem that we’re pretty much in the clear for this evening’s festivities. Still, just because the forecast looks promising, that doesn’t mean the expected pitching matchups are also bright and sunny. Consider for a moment that Homer Bailey ($9,000) is the fourth-most expensive starter on Tuesday’s pricing list and I think you’ll have a decent idea of how well this appears to be setting up for the bats. In fact, it’s sort of difficult to narrow down which lineups you should be taking an interest in.

That’s why I’m here. Let’s roll through tonight’s top five MLB stacks on DraftKings.

Set your DraftKings lineups here: MLB $500K Relay Throw [$100K to 1st]

1. Oakland Athletics

You might be holding out hope that most of Antonio Senzatela’s ($6,600) struggles came at Coors Field in 2019, but that would be incorrect. Somehow, the RHP’s numbers were actually significantly worse on the road, where he pitched to a disastrous 7.29 ERA with an opponent wOBA of .390. It’s not like things improved as the season went along, either. Senzatela faced 191 batters in the second-half of last year and allowed that collection of men to slash a combined .355/.413/.580. These are the kind of struggles that can occur when you happen to have led all pitchers with at least 120 innings in zone contact rate (91.4%). There’s simply not a lot of swing-and-miss in Senzatela’s arsenal and that’s going to be an issue when facing an elite offense like the Athletics.

Players to Consider

Matt Olson ($4,600)
Marcus Semien ($4,400)
Matt Chapman ($4,300)
Mark Canha ($4,200)
Robbie Grossman ($2,600)

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2. New York Mets

Boston has surrendered seven runs in each of its past three games and it doesn’t look like that streak is going to come to an end this evening with Matt Hall ($4,900) on the mound. Well, at least not if the left-hander’s prior numbers in the majors are any indication. In 21 relief appearances for the Tigers in 2018 and 2019, Hall conceded a whopping 33 earned runs in just 31.1 innings of work. Part of the problem was the southpaw’s 13.3% walk rate; part of the problem was the 1.44 home runs per nine he allowed; and another part of the problem was opponents slugging .571 off of Hall’s fastball - the pitch he’s used in 65.4% of counts so far in his career. These are all massive red flags when squaring off with a Mets squad that ranked seventh in MLB in wOBA versus LHPs in 2019 (.338).

Players to Consider

Pete Alonso ($5,500)
Jeff McNeil ($5,300)
Michael Conforto ($5,100)
J.D. Davis ($4,400)
Yoenis Cespedes ($4,400)

3. Los Angeles Dodgers

From a complete narrative perspective, you’d have to assume that the Dodgers want to completely massacre the Astros on Tuesday. Well, considering the state of Houston’s pitching staff, they might actually have that fantasy come true. First off, the Astros will send Framber Valdez ($7,800) to the mound to begin the game. Last season, in the LHP’s eight starts, Valdez pitched to a 7.07 ERA and a 5.77 FIP thanks to surrendering an eye-popping 1.77 home runs per nine. The southpaw has shown the ability to induce a decent number of grounders; however, when he allowed an opponent to elevate the ball, it left the park 25.7% of the time. Add in that Houston’s bullpen is dealing with injuries to high-leverage relievers Ryan Pressly, Chris Devenski and Joe Smith, and suddenly, there’s not really all that much for Los Angeles to fear.

Players to Consider

Justin Turner ($4,900)
Cody Bellinger ($4,900)
Mookie Betts ($4,700)
Will Smith ($4,300)
Max Muncy ($4,000)

4. Kansas City Royals

The Royals tied a franchise record with six home runs in Monday’s 14-6 victory over the Tigers and who am I to suggest that they can’t keep the good times going on Tuesday? The big thing to think about when it comes to utilizing Kansas City’s bats is price point. It’s maybe the cheapest viable stack you’ll ever come across with not a single asset checking in at or above $4K. Now, that’s all well and good in a vacuum, but it seems almost inexcusable when facing off with Detroit. This evening, the Tigers will be starting the right-handed Rony Garcia ($4,000), a relatively low-end prospect who’s thrown 105.1 career innings above Single-A and whose presence on the active roster has as much to do with his status as a Rule 5 selection as it does his talent. Combine that with a bullpen that currently owns a AL-worst 7.42 FIP and it’s clear that the Royals are undervalued on this slate.

Players to Consider

Whit Merrifield ($3,800)
Jorge Soler ($3,700)
Adalberto Mondesi ($3,400)
Alex Gordon ($3,000)
Salvador Perez ($2,800)

5. Milwaukee Brewers

For as much as the Brewers have labored to score runs so far in 2020, I’m having a very hard time believing they won’t be able to break through against Derek Holland ($6,100). To say that the left-hander has been inconsistent the last half-decade would be an understatement, and, in 2017 and 2019, Holland sandwiched two awful seasons around a surprisingly decent 2018 campaign with San Francisco. Still, even with those 171.1 successful innings under his belt, the southpaw has surrendered the ninth-most home runs per nine of any qualified starter across the past three years (1.61). More recently, Holland conceded a barrelled baseball to an opponent in 12.2% of his batted ball events last season - the fourth-highest rate among the 198 pitchers with at least 200 BBEs. Like many players before him, Holland’s simply losing his fastball velocity and it’s impacting his fantasy outputs.

Players to Consider

Christian Yelich ($5,900)
Keston Hiura ($4,300)
Ryan Braun ($4,000)
Avisail Garcia ($4,000)
Justin Smoak ($3,600)

Set your DraftKings lineups here: MLB $500K Relay Throw [$100K to 1st]

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theglt13) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.