The NBA is back on Thursday night! Even with just two games, DraftKings Sportsbook is offering a free $1k player prop contest, featuring a lot of LeBron James and Zion Williamson props.
Total 3 pointers made by LeBron:
James is firing away from downtown more than he ever has in his career, attempting 6.4 triples per game. He’s also making more than he ever has in his career at 2.4 per game, at a 34.9% clip. I’ll admit this one should be tight, but I think the over will be a popular play, where the numbers offer us a slight advantage on the under. The Lakers and Clippers have played in three grinders so far this season, with LeBron shooting a combined 5-for-23 from downtown, and connecting on no more than two in a single game.
Pick: UNDER 2.5
Total 3 pointers made by Zion:
I think we all remember Williamson going 4-for-4 from downtown when he came to life in the fourth quarter in his NBA debut, but what do you remember about Zion from deep since then? Welp, he’s made two total triples over an 18-game span. So while the rookie is capable, he actually has only made a 3-pointer in 15.8% of his career games played.
Pick: UNDER 0.5
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Will LeBron or Zion finish with a Triple-Double?
There’s nothing fancy to this one. There are strong odds that neither of these two posts a triple-double in the large majority of their games. But looking at the board, this could be a spot where people try to get cute, or find it more fun to cheer for a triple-double. Fading is an easy call.
Who will finish with more Points, Rebounds, Assists and Blocks:
LeBron James and Anthony Davis or Zion Williamson and Jrue Holiday?
This definitely isn’t a spot I expect many to be contrarian and take the Pelicans stars over the Lakers stars. So I’m just here to remind you to follow the masses and be different in other spots. LeBron and AD average a combined 86.3 if you add all these statistical categories together. Zion and Holiday are left in the dust with a 65.3 average. It’s just not close enough to justify being contrarian.
Pick: LeBron and AD
Will the Lakers and Pelicans both Win?
I think most people will eat the chalk and say that the two favorites win. Heck, I think the Pelicans and Lakers are both going to win. But if you parlay those two outcomes on DKSB, the parlay pays out at +161 — implying far less than a 50% chance of both teams winning. If the masses will go with the chalk, and we can get the more likely outcome at “lower ownership,” I’ll go that way.
Curious about when major leagues and events will return? Check out our DraftKings Sports Calendar for the latest updates.
My quick picks on the rest of the props:
Who will score more points: LeBron or Zion
Pick: LeBron — let’s not get too cute with all these LeBron/Zion head-to-heads.
Will Zion Williamson have more rebounds than Anthony Davis?
Pick: NO — but an AD to the locker room narrative is worth considering.
Will LeBron James have more assists than Lonzo Ball?
Who will have more 1st half points: LeBron or Zion
Who will have more 2nd half points: LeBron or Zion
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.
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