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Trail Blazers vs. Heat Simulated NBA Game: DraftKings DFS Showdown Strategy, Captain’s Picks

Greg Ehrenberg preps you for Tuesday’s 3:00 p.m. ET simulated NBA Showdown contest between the Heat and Trail Blazers with game-script analysis and Captain’s Picks.

Phoenix Suns v Portland Trail Blazers Photo by Sam Forencich/NBAE via Getty Images

With real basketball currently on hiatus, DraftKings is launching simulated basketball games! Take note of the rules since this contest doesn’t work like any other contest we have had before. Here, we will focus on Tuesday’s free simulated game between the Trail Blazers and Heat, which locks at 3:00 p.m. ET.

Set your FREE to play lineups here: Simulated Basketball $2K FREE Contest (POR vs MIA)


Curious about when major leagues and events will return? Check out our DraftKings Sports Calendar for the latest updates.


Note: All salaries will be Flex prices unless noted as Captain’s Pick prices.


SHOWDOWN STRATEGY

Miami Heat

Miami has two All-Stars, Jimmy Butler ($10,000) and Bam Adebayo ($9,200). The two have nearly identical production this season, with Butler averaging 41.85 DKFP compared to an average of 41.67 DKFP for Adebayo. I prefer rostering Bam to Butler for the salary savings and the slightly higher ceiling. Adebayo has scored as many as 70.25 DKFP this season. Even though I prefer Bam, this doesn’t mean we have to fade Butler. It makes sense to roster them both if fitting them both works for your lineup construction. With that said, Butler is the weakest play of the four most expensive players in this contest. He averages quite a bit more than the two Blazers players priced above him.

Kendrick Nunn ($6,600) is a player from the Miami side of the game that I am comfortable fading. Even though he has upside, Nunn is a bit overpriced considering his average performances. He’s stepped up at times when Miami has dealt with injuries, but only averages 26.35 DKFP for the season. Another oddly expensive player from Miami that I think we can fade is Kelly Olynyk ($7,200). He’s typically a sensible value play in our sims for close to minimum price and his salary is more than double what it typically is.

As a value play, Derrick Jones Jr. ($4,000) is a sensible play. He’s been a pretty steady player, averaging 19.4 DKFP and he rarely has games with under 15 DKFP. Despite having a modest ceiling, Jones is cheap and makes sense because his salary savings allow us to fit in the expensive players in this contest.

Just like Olynyk, Jae Crowder’s ($6,000) price is jacked up for this showdown contest. Typically price around $4,000, I am willing to roster him with an average of 25.32 DKFP. With his more expensive price tag, Crowder goes from normally being one of the my favorite Miami players to a being too expensive. Instead, my favorite value play on the Heat is Duncan Robinson ($4,000). The sharpshooter has taken over as the starting shooting guard for Miami and proved to be really valuable in the role. Robinson has started in 60 of his 65 games and averages 23.36 DKFP as a starter.


Portland Trail Blazers

Damian Lillard ($17,700 CP/$11,000) is having the best season of his career and is my top choice for Captain in this contest. It looks like the Blazers will probably miss the playoffs, but we can’t blame Dame, who has been tasked with carrying the team. Lillard averages 49.75 DKFP and has a ridiculous ceiling since he’s scored as many as 92 DKFP this season.

In the next tier of players, Hassan Whiteside ($10,800) and CJ McCollum ($8,400) have been strong fantasy producers for Portland. Between the two, I prefer McCollum for the price savings. Even though Whiteside averages 43.15 DKFP compared to 37.45 DKFP for McCollum, I can’t ignore the difference in price. This is another change in the normal salaries we see from these players since Whiteside is typically cheaper than McCollum.

Even though he’s sitting out of the NBA restart in real life, Trevor Ariza ($3,400) is a viable play in this sim format. We only care about past performances and the future doesn’t hold any weight. It’s also possible Ariza’s ownership could be limited since he has the OUT designation next to his name. Since he averages 19.71 DKFP, he’s a bit underpriced in this format.

The Blazers typically play their starters big minutes and have a tight rotation, making it a bit hard to find any decent plays outside of the key players. If looking to go a bit off the board with a value play, there’s reason to consider Rodney Hood ($1,000). Prior to his season-ending because of a torn Achilles, Hood was playing decently and averaging 19.9 DKFP. .

Set your FREE to play lineups here: Simulated Basketball $2K FREE Contest (POR vs MIA)


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.