The first of a pair of consecutive tournaments at Muirfield Village will be the Workday Charity Open (WCO). The PGA TOUR, along with the John Deere Classic tournament hosts, decided to cancel the John Deere back in May, and for the first time in modern history, we’ll get back-to-back tournaments on the same course. The WCO will have over 150 golfers in the field, while next week will feature the standard 120-man invitational field for The Memorial. Technically, there aren’t any “past” winners this week, but previous champions at Muirfield Village for the Memorial Tournament include Patrick Cantlay, Hideki Matsuyama and Jason Dufner.
Justin Rose to Win +2600
Rosey is an absolute stud at Muirfield Village, gaining an average of 8.2 strokes Tee-to-Green in his six starts at the Memorial. The Englishman rarely plays himself out of a tournament, and if he does happen to MC or perform poorly, it usually comes at the hands of bad putting. The one missed cut here came back in 2014 where he lost a bunch of strokes with his short game. Although he’s outside of the top 50 in SG: Putting, he still ranks top 25 in approach, sixth in opportunities gained and fourth in birdies or better gained. His worst finish, sans the missed weekend, is 13th.
Viktor Hovland to Win +2600
Tee-to-Green, Hovland has been the best on Tour since coming back from the shutdown, gaining an average of eight strokes. The short game has been his Achilles’ heel, but Muirfield Village is a tough place to putt for all golfers, which may help Vik when he starts missing on the greens. This young star has been frequenting first-page leaderboards for the past month and the numbers tell the story as he ranks sixth in SG: Off-the-Tee, ninth in par 4 scoring on holes 450 to 500 yards and first in both opportunities gained and SG: Approach-the-Green over his past 12 rounds.
Joaquin Niemann to Win +5000
Bentgrass greens have become a prerequisite for Niemann early in his career, which is what the golfers will be on at Muirfield Village. Similar to Hovland, Niemann’s ball-striking has been elite since coming back from the shutdown ranking third in SG: Tee-to-Green, third in approach and first in proximity with his irons from 175 to 200 yards out.
Max Homa Top 10 +1100 | Top 20 +500
Homa is one of my favorite players to watch, follow on social media and bet when the proverbial stars align. The outright number is excellent at +11000, but if you’re worried about his two missed cuts, then a top 10 or top 20 should suffice. His ball-striking is absolutely in form, as he is gaining close to a stroke and a half over his past eight rounds, but the short game has been his issue when trying to make the weekend. This is a “second-shot” course and he’s been one of the best since being back from the shutdown. Muirfield Village has been a launching pad for some of the game’s rising stars and Homa has the personality and, most importantly, the game to be in that group.
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