The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.
1. Austin Cindric ($11,300) - When a driver wins five of the last six races, they become a championship favorite. Cindric’s win at Kentucky does not mark the beginning of his dominance. He has a top 3 driver rating in five of the six races before Kentucky. His worst rated race was Pocono and he was the 5th highest rated driver in that race.
2. Chase Briscoe ($10,600) - His pit crew has been fast, but all of the breaks on pit road have gone his way until Daytona. Briscoe had to line up in a non-preferred spot last week, and he wrecked. Never has a driver’s success and failure been so heavily influenced by pit road.
3. Justin Allgaier ($11,000) - In the last five Dover races, Allgaier has three 2nd place finishes, a 3rd place finish, and a win. His setup will be one of the best when the green flag drops. No other driver can match his skill at Dover. The question is whether Allgaier can run a clean race or not.
4. Anthony Alfredo ($8,700) - In two of his last three intermediate track races, Alfredo has finished 6th. Throw out his wreck at Texas and his average finish in the seven intermediate track races this season is 8th.
5. David Starr ($5,300) - The #07 Bobby Dotter car has earned a top 20 finish in eight of the last 11 races. This is exactly how the car finished last year with Gray Gaulding behind the wheel. This is a good play, but it’s not automatic. Starr finished 14th in the car at Texas, but he finished 24th at Kansas.
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6. Jeffrey Earnhardt ($5,500) - With the switch in determining the starting grid, Jeff finally becomes a viable fantasy option. The JD Motorsports cars are 20th place cars, but until now, they always started inside the top 20. Outside of the road courses, Earnhardt is averaging a 19th place finish in his 12 races.
7. Justin Haley ($9,900) - Last year, Haley finished 4th at Dover and his average running position was 6th. This year, he was fast at a similar high bank concrete track at Bristol. Unfortunately, Haley got caught in a late race wreck, but his aggressive and reckless driving throughout the race made the crash inevitable.
8. Noah Gragson ($10,100) - After Homestead, Gragson cooled off. This week, he took to social media to lament his haters. That’s never a good look, nor a good sign. When a driver comes out and says that they are focusing on racing and ignoring the distractions, they’re doing exactly the opposite.
9. Ross Chastain ($10,400) - If Chastain was driving for Penske, SHR, JGR, or Jr Motorsports, he would likely be the championship favorite. Kaulig Racing isn’t a bad team, they’re just not at the level of the giants. Chastain has the talent to win this race, but he needs some breaks to move him through the top 5.
10. Harrison Burton ($9,500) - The last time Harrison Burton raced an Xfinity car at Dover, he lasted one-quarter of a lap before wrecking out. It wasn’t his fault. Oil was dropped on the track during a pace lap, and NASCAR decided to go green anyway.
11. Jeb Burton ($9,200) - The #8 car for Jr. Motorsports is starting to look like the #8 car for BJ Motorsports. No one imagined that a top tier team with experienced alternating drivers could perform this poorly. The RCR #21 car has been fine with a rotating seat.
12. Brandon Brown ($7,700) - This year, when Brown does not wreck or have a part failure (this excludes five races), his average finish is 11th in 13 races. If he finishes 11th, the same spot he finished in the fall 2019 Dover race, then he’ll score 43 fantasy points.
13. Korbin Forrister ($5,600) - This is only Forrister’s fifth Xfinity race and his first since 2017, but he’s not lacking experience. Forrister has 56 truck races under his belt (three at Dover). Ultimately, this pick isn’t about Forrister. It’s a cheap price for a Mario Gosselin car starting outside of the top 30.
14. Riley Herbst ($8,500) - Saturday is probably not the best day to play Riley Herbst. If the JGR team has any sense, they will treat Saturday as a practice for Sunday. Herbst nearly won the backend of the last double header at Kentucky.
15. Brandon Jones ($9,300) - Over the last couple years, Jones has run well at Bristol and Dover. They’re not his best tracks because such a thing does not exist. Jones won’t likely be the driver out front, but if there are cautions in stage three, Jones might sneak into victory lane.
16. Jesse Little ($4,900) - DFS players have to look at this pick differently. It’s not so much how many points he can score or how efficient he’ll be, but how many lineups does Little allow DFS players to build. His 12th place starting position is extremely risky, but Little has eight top 15 finishes this season.
17. Josh Williams ($6,700) - His season peaked with a 9th place finish at Bristol. There have been wrecks and mechanical failure, but even on a normal weekend, Williams hasn’t been that great. Despite the struggles, Williams has been a 20th place driver. He’s not far off from being a 15th place driver again. Last year, he finished 15th at Dover.
18. Jeremy Clements ($8,100) - Excluding a Road America wreck, Clements is on the best run of his career. He’s averaging a 10th place finish over the last seven races (excluding Road America). It’s a great real life story, but in daily fantasy, it is difficult to play him starting in 7th place.
19. Myatt Snider ($9,700) - This price makes absolutely no sense. This is a RSS/Reaume Brothers car. It’s going backwards at the start and should be priced accordingly. Maybe, Snider is a $9,000 driver in this field, but that’s a stretch. A bigger stretch is pricing a $6,000 car at $9,000.
20. Alex Labbe ($8,300) - His teammate, Josh Williams, is starting one spot ahead of Labbe, but is $1,600 cheaper. Williams has a better average finish over the last two months than Labbe. The price is too high.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.