The NBA playoffs are up and running in Orlando. DraftKings is hosting massive DFS contests every day and we have another big slate of action on Tuesday.
Luka Doncic, DAL vs. LAC ($11,400) — Clearly, the ankle injury was no issue for Doncic last game. After being listed on the injury report as questionable and scaring away fantasy players, Luka had arguably the most impressive performance of the postseason. He scored 92.75 DKFP with a triple-double and hit a buzzer beater in overtime to even the series at two games apiece. Doncic is also in line for extra usage since Kristaps Porzingis (knee) is out for the second consecutive game.
Monte Morris, DEN vs. UTA ($4,000) — Down in the series to the Jazz, the Nuggets made some starting lineup changes last game that I expect to stick. One of the most significant changes was starting Morris in the backcourt alongside Jamal Murray ($8,000). Morris wasn’t great for fantasy, but he played 36 minutes. At his price point, he makes for a good value option if we assume he gets the same run. Morris averaged 23.3 DKFP as a starter this season.
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Donovan Mitchell, UTA vs. DEN ($9,700) — Per dollar, Mitchell is an awful play and I much prefer every other player in this price range. The issue is that he’s the only expensive shooting guard on the slate and I don’t have anybody else to list here. Mitchell has been great and is coming off of a 51-point game, but I expect regression. He’s shooting nearly 60% from the field in this series.
Lou Williams, LAC vs. DAL ($6,100) — In the playoffs, Los Angeles is starting to look to Williams more to play an expanded role. During the final stretch of the regular season, he barely played, but it looks like he was being saved for the playoffs. In the last three contests of the series, Lou is playing 31.0 minutes per game and averaging 37.7 DKFP.
Paul George, LAC vs. DAL ($8,200) — This is an ownership play. We have a two-game slate and there is a massive amount of public sentiment against George because of his struggles shooting the ball in the playoffs. Anytime we can get a player of George’s caliber at potentially reduced ownership due to bias, that’s a situation I want to be in on. He is going to shoot better than 21% from the field going forward.
Royce O’Neale, UTA vs. DEN ($4,500) — This is a position tough to find value. Nobody stands out as a strong play. At first, I considered listing Dorian Finney-Smith ($4,800) here, but he has since been downgraded to questionable with his hip issue. At least O’Neale appears to have some upside as he has a game this series with 37.25 DKFP.
None — This isn’t even a situation like shooting guard where there aren’t any good options. There are simply no options for me to recommend as an expensive power forward because the most expensive player at the position is Michael Porter Jr. ($5,700) and he’s being phased out of the Nuggets’ rotation since he can’t defend anybody. He lost his starting gig last game.
Jerami Grant, DEN vs. UTA ($4,700) — Above, I mentioned MPJ moving to a reserve role. In exchange, Grant is now starting at power forward for the Nuggets. Last game, Grant played 36 minutes, so I expect more of the same today. For the season, he’s averaged 26.3 DKFP as a starter while playing 32.0 minutes per game.
Nikola Jokic, DEN vs. UTA ($9,400) — With the season on the line, I expect Jokic to push for 40 minutes. It’s not even unreasonable to think he could play close to the entire game. Despite the 3-1 series lead for the Jazz, Denver is still in this. It also looks like the pressure scenario is slightly changing how Jokic plays. He upped his usage rating to 29.6% on Sunday.
Maxi Kleber, DAL vs. LAC ($4,200) — Now that Porzingis is officially out tonight, Dallas is going to have to lean heavily on Kleber. Without KP active on Sunday, Kleber played 37 minutes and scored 25.3 DKFP. The price is a bit too cheap for his expected role.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.