The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.
1. Kyle Busch ($17,000) - At least Busch is having a decent Xfinity season. Hamlin embarrassed the field last week, but came away empty handed because his pit crew was hot garbage. Busch will have to deal with the same pit crew rejects, but during the green flag he will smoke this lackluster field.
2. Austin Cindric ($10,900) - This one might be a little out there for some, but Richmond’s banking and shape is similar to Kentucky, and there appears to be a correlation in low downforce races. Cindric won both Kentucky races and finished 2nd in both Richmond races last season.
3. Chase Briscoe ($11,500) - His pit crew worked their job last week and handed Briscoe the lead. Unfortunately, NASCAR did not do their job. When Brett Moffitt’s car was smoking and spraying fluid all over the track, NASCAR ignored the possible danger and let drivers race. Briscoe and a handful of other cars throughout the field slid on the fluid and wrecked.
4. Justin Allgaier ($10,400) - This was supposed to be Allgaier’s year. Instead it’s the year of Wall-Gaier. The possible place differential points he offers is tempting, but DFS player have been fooled by the #7 car too many times.
5. Riley Herbst ($7,400) - No practice hurts, but if you squint, then you can see how Kentucky can race like Richmond. At Kentucky, Herbst was running 2nd late in the race until a pit road mistake ruined his chances. Herbst finished 9th at Richmond in the spring of 2019.
6. Brandon Jones ($8,900) - His racing luck is starting to catch up with his real life luck. Last year, Jones won at Kansas when literally every decent car wrecked at the end. Last week, the same thing happened again. As long as Ross Chastain is in the field tearing up race cars, Jones has a chance at winning.
7. Harrison Burton ($10,000) - Richmond won’t be a complete surprise for Burton. He finished 6th in the #18 car at Richmond last year. That experience will help some, but he needs laps. On a normal weekend, Burton could pick the brain of his teammate Kyle Busch, but that can’t happen during the COVID-19 era.
8. Noah Gragson ($9,800) - In the last 11 races, Gragson only has three top 5 finishes. That’s pathetic given how weak the field is. It’s a sad state of affairs at JR Motorsports when Michael Annett has the best average finish since July.
9. Jeb Burton ($9,300) - It’s one thing for Daniel Hemric to torpedo his own career by wrecking every week, but it’s another thing to hold back a teammate. Instead of getting the #8 JR Motorsports car to where it should be, the team spends every week fixing Hemric’s mess.
10. Ross Chastain ($9,500) - His family is going to have to get a second mortgage on the watermelon farm if he keeps tearing up race cars. Ricky Stenhouse thinks Ross Chastain is reckless.
11. Joey Gase ($5,400) - The #07 rental car is Joey Gase’s ride this weekend, just as long as he returns it with a full tank of gas. This is one of the best cars that Gase has ever driven. The last time that he drove a decent car (#93 RSS car), he earned a top 20 at Las Vegas in February.
12. Tommy Joe Martins ($4,800) - Last week, Martins was on his way to a top 10 finish, but a hole in his tire with 20 laps remaining resulted in a 26th place finish. That’s pretty normal for Martins. His car fell apart every weekend for two months before his current streak of solid finishes.
13. Justin Haley ($9,100) - It’s hard to evaluate Haley’s talent. He was decent in the truck series driving for an elite team, but all of his wins were pure flukes. His Xfinity wins are plate wins. If there is one thing that is certain, Haley is one of the luckiest drivers ever.
14. Brett Moffitt ($8,600) - Either Moffitt gets pushed around a lot or he puts himself in bad spots. He doesn’t always DNF, but it seems like he is always mixing it up with someone. Last week’s dance resulted in a lot of torn up race cars.
15. Kaz Grala ($8,400) - The #21 RCR car might be a little bit better than the price, but the revolving door of unproven talent suggests that the price might be a little too high. DFS players never know what they are going to get from Alfredo and Grala other than desperation.
16. Jesse Little ($4,900) - It would be nice if he wasn’t starting so close to the front, but his price would increase presenting the same conundrum. The #4 JD Motorsports car can finish as high as 15th, but on a regular day it’s closer to 20th. A regular day finish doesn’t cut it for GPPs.
17. Ryan Sieg ($7,500) - At the beginning of the season, it looked like Sieg was finally going to get his first win, but then COVID-19 happened. The team was not the same coming out of the break. Now, his team is finally back to speed. Sieg finished 3rd last week with a torn up race car.
18. Jeremy Clements ($7,200) - Throw out a mechanical failure in the spring 2019 Richmond race and Clements is averaging a 14th place finish over the last five Richmond races. Those races were against tougher competition. Clements might not sneak into the top 10, but 12th place seems reasonable.
19. Josh Williams ($5,000) - How did this price happen? A full-time Mario Gosselin car for $5,000. His starting position is scary, but a scan of the field and it’s not a stretch to imagine that Williams can earn a top 15 finish.
20. Kyle Weatherman ($6,400) - Mike Harmon cars break down, and the more that they break down, then the more that they break down. It’s a vicious cycle. If this car can hold up and Weatherman doesn’t wreck again, then maybe Weatherman can wheel it like he did at Kentucky.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.