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Fantasy Hockey Picks: DraftKings NHL Lightning vs. Islanders Showdown Targets for September 15

Matt Meiselman gets you ready for Tuesday’s DraftKings fantasy hockey slate with ownership and pricing analysis.

We’re potentially down to our last game of the Conference Finals tonight as the Tampa Bay Lightning look to close out their series against the New York Islanders. The Dallas Stars have already moved on to the Stanley Cup with their series clinching victory last night, and the Lightning will hope to do the same in tonight’s Game 5. This slate is once again a Showdown slate, and it locks at 8 p.m. ET.

Set your DraftKings lineups here: NHL Showdown $30K Win or Go Home [$10K to 1st] (NYI vs TB)


Game 4 Top Performers

The story of Game 4 was Brayden Point ($8,800), who returned to the lineup after missing Game 3 with an injury. Point wasn’t a sure thing to even play in the game, but his status was upgraded during warmups and, as a result, he came in at substantially lower ownership than he otherwise would have. Point was over 50% owned in Games 1 and 2, and is arguably the most impactful skater in the whole series, so clearly this was an oversight due to the late injury news. Point was the top performer in Game 4 with a goal, an assist and five shots, as the Lightning cruised to a 4-1 victory.


DraftKings Showdown Strategy

As mentioned above, Game 4 was a quirky one with Point getting much lower ownership due to his injury designation. That shouldn’t happen in Game 5 with the top Tampa Bay line looking like obviously popular plays. For Game 5, we should also expect to see a bit of a drop in ownership for some of the mid-tier players, both because Point is back and also because of how well his line played. Tampa Bay’s best players were the top performers of Game 4, including goaltender Andrei Vasilevsky ($10,600) who stopped 22-of-23 shots in the win, and it makes sense that people would continue to gravitate towards them for Game 5.

As a result of the Lightning’s popularity, anyone who prioritizes Islanders players and gets it right will be well ahead of the field. The Islanders should be even more contrarian than they were last game, but whether or not that strategy is worthwhile is another question. The other alternative is to pivot down to lower-tier Lightning players, most notably the second and third lines, who have been playing almost the same amount of even strength minutes as the first line. The Lightning are an extremely deep team, and it wouldn’t be a major surprise to see them carried by their secondary scoring options in Game 5.


Value Plays

Anthony Cirelli ($6,000), Alex Killorn ($5,800), Tyler Johnson ($5,000), Yani Gourde ($5,600)

The secondary scoring options on the Lightning could be a way to differentiate from the field, but they also happen to be easy to fit into lineups. The second line in particular (with Cirelli, Killorn and Johnson) seems especially underpriced; and the fact that they’ve only registered one goal (and one total point) between them has probably kept their prices down. Killorn and Johnson get the added benefit of power play time on the second unit, and third-liner Yani Gourde shares correlation with that unit, as well.

Set your DraftKings lineups here: NHL Showdown $30K Win or Go Home [$10K to 1st] (NYI vs TB)


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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.