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DraftKings Fantasy Football Sleepers: NFL DFS Pivot Picks for Week 2

Garion Thorne goes position-by-position to find overlooked players on Week 2’s main slate, which locks at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sept. 20.

It’s hard to know what a sleeper even is anymore when it comes to Fantasy Football, but, for the purposes of this article, we’ll use the term to mean an asset that’s likely to be undervalued heading into a given week. A player that’s going to be overlooked when it comes to ownership, yet one that has a reasonable path to make people regret that decision. Someone who might set your lineup apart from the pack in a GPP, if you will.

With that in mind, let’s go position-by-position for an early look at Week 2’s slate on DraftKings.

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QUARTERBACK

Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens, $6,400

This is a little bit of a perfect storm spot for Watson. Not only did the Texans’ offense look absolutely lost without DeAndre Hopkins for large portions of the team’s Thursday night loss to the Chiefs, but Baker Mayfield also made the Ravens’ defense look superhuman in Baltimore’s resounding 38-6 victory over the Browns. Still, it’s not like Watson’s fantasy production was all that terrible at the end of the day. Thanks to a late touchdown scramble, the Clemson product averaged 0.55 DKFP per drop back — an exceedingly similar figure to the 0.56 DKFP he put up in 2019. Additionally, he was one of just seven QBs in Week 1 to average at least 10.0 air yards per pass attempt, which truly illustrates the level of upside that Watson brings to the table each and every weekend. With in the implied volume that should be present — the Ravens induced an AFC-high 61.3% opponent pass rate last season — I’m more than okay taking a shot with an elite talent at what should be a depressed ownership.


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RUNNING BACK

Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs, $6,500

I’m not going to lie, I do think there’s some validity to the fear that Ekeler’s pass catching production is going to lessen in 2020. First and foremost, the loss of Philip Rivers to the Colts was a bigger red flag than I wanted to acknowledge in the summer. An insane and league-leading 32% of the Chargers’ team targets were directed at the RB position in 2019 and if Indianapolis’ Week 1 performance was any indication, a lot of that was due to Rivers’ love of checking down. Still, I also believe we’re maybe all overreacting a little too much to the Cincinnati game. In the committee-crazed version of the NFL where we currently reside, Ekeler finished the week with the eighth-most touches (20) and the ninth-highest snap rate (67.6%) of any RB in the league; yet, despite all that, his salary dropped $500. Ekeler was owned in 20.6% of lineups in the Millionaire Maker last Sunday. After letting that many people down, I’d be legitimately shocked if he’s above 10% in Week 2 and I’m more than willing to stick around at wait for the uncontested rebound.


WIDE RECEIVER

Editor’s Note: Titans WR A.J. Brown (knee) has been ruled out vs. the Jaguars.

A.J. Brown, Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, $6,100

As as east-coast person, I honestly don’t know if enough people stayed up on Monday to be truly disappointed in Brown’s performance against the Broncos. Still, if you owned him in season-long or Showdown, you probably weren’t all that happy when you checked the box score on Tuesday’s morning’s commute to work. It wasn’t even so much that Corey Davis ($4,000) out-gained the sophomore wideout, but Adam Humphries ($3,400) schooling you is a nearly unforgivable sin. Anyway, I’m going to chalk up Brown’s underwhelming “primetime” effort as a blip on the radar. The larger sample with the 23-year-old remains enticing in tournament settings, as Brown led all qualified WRs in both receiving yards per target (12.5) and PPR fantasy points per touch (3.95) in 2019. Clearly he doesn’t need incalculable volume to be a positive asset and I’m far from sold on Jacksonville’s new-look passing defense after a single decent showing.


TIGHT END

Mike Gesicki, Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills, $4,000

Understandably, the Dolphins own one of the slate’s lowest implied point totals heading into action for Week 2, but don’t let that put a damper Gesicki’s ceiling. Though the Penn State product didn’t exactly set the world on fire in Miami’s 21-11 loss to New England on Sunday, Gesicki was targeted on a more than acceptable 19% of his routes, while he was also the intended receiver on the Dolphins’ lone passing play run inside the Patriots’ 10-yard line. However, the biggest factor in Gesicki’s value going forward might just be the health of DeVante Parker ($5,900) — who was forced to leave the New England game early with a hamstring issue, but was targeted on 33% of his routes before he did. Miami doesn’t have a lot of depth at WR and, if Parker is ruled out Sunday, Gesicki could see some serious trickle-down volume in what will likely be a contest where the Dolphins are trailing. Even in a bad matchup, that’s enough to be viable as a mid-tier TE option.

Set your lineups here: NFL $4.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire [$1M to 1st + ToC Entry]


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theglt13) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.