We’ve made it to hump day! We’ve got a loaded MLB slate, including one doubleheader, and plenty of opportunities to make some money. I’ve picked out three of my favorites lines on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh is going with JT Brubaker in this one, who has been lit up by left-handed batters to the tune of a nearly .300 average. Cincinnati is stacked with talented lefties such as Shogo Akiyama, Joey Votto, Jesse Winker and Mike Moustakas. I don’t think they will have much of an issue hitting in this one, and they will have their lead protected by Luis Castillo, who is allowing the lowest exit velocity of his career along with inducing more ground balls this season. He profiles well against the Pirates and the Reds should win this one handily.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
Similar to last night, it may feel like a square move backing the Yankees, but it’s clear that this offense is clicking right now, and we know it has more talent than almost anyone’s in the league. The return of Gio Urshela — perhaps their most important hitter — gives me full confidence the Yankees’ outburst on Tuesday was no fluke. Tanner Roark will be tasked with shutting down this lineup, and we know at this point in his eight-year career that Roark stinks. He’s allowed barrels at almost the highest clip in the league (13.8%), so he somehow has gotten even worse this season. The Yankees should tee-off.
Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago Cubs:
When the chance to fade Jon Lester at a near pick-em price presents itself, you should probably take it. The 36-year-old has seen his expected ERA climb over the past three years, and he’s now allowing more hard contact than ever before in his career. Cleveland’s lineup has struggled of late with the third-lowest wRC+ over the past two weeks, but Lester should be what cures their slump.
While Lester’s peripherals are quite bad this year, Aaron Civale’s are pretty good. The 25-year-old has flashed strikeout stuff while limiting walks (4.3 BB%) better than 93% of the league. Against a Cubs lineup with three true outcome hitters who rely on walks (eighth-highest walk rate in MLB), things could get tricky. This lineup has the fourth-worst contact rate in the league, but will have to make some against the pitch-to-contact Civale in order to generate runs. I don’t like Chicago’s chances.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.