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There is a free 100K Sportsbook Pool for NFL Week 2. You have to make five picks against the spread out of the remaining 15 contests. The higher you finish on the leaderboard, the more money you earn.
Let’s take a look at all 15 remaining games on the Week 2 slate, including my five personal favorites.
The Jaguars have become everyone’s favorite team after Week 1. Gardiner Minshew was incredible, completing 95% of his passes with three touchdowns and the Jags upset the Colts as massive underdogs.
That said, there’s a reason this team was expected to be one of the worst in football this season. They’ve lost so many key contributors over the past few seasons — including Jalen Ramsey, A.J. Bouye, Calais Campbell, Yannick Ngakoue and Leonard Fournette. Jacksonville’s win total was set at just 4.5 during the preseason, which was the lowest mark out of all 32 teams.
I’m expecting Derrick Henry to absolutely smash in this matchup after a relatively pedestrian Week 1. He’s averaged nearly 125 yards and two TDs over his past four games vs. the Jaguars and this is probably the worst their defense has been over that time frame.
The Pick: Titans -8.5
The Packers are a very public team at the moment, currently garnering 77% of the spread bets in this contest. That said, I don’t know how the Lions can slow down this passing attack.
Aaron Rodgers was fantastic in Week 1, particularly when throwing to Davante Adams. He reeled in 14 catches on 17 targets and finished with 156 yards and two TDs. Allan Lazard and Marquez Valdez-Scantling also got involved, with both players posting at least 63 yards and a touchdown.
Those guys should have a massive edge vs. a Lions secondary that is extremely banged up. Desmond Trufant and Justin Coleman have both been ruled out, which leaves the Lions without two of their top three corners. It does look like rookie Jeff Okudah will be able to make his debut after being inactive during Week 1, he’s still just one player.
Additionally, Aaron Rodgers has historically been one of the best QBs in football as a home favorite. He’s gone 49-29-3 in that situation, which makes him the second-most profitable QB as a home favorite since 2004.
The Pick: Packers -6.5
This looks like a very good spot to buy low on the Eagles. They blew a 17-0 lead vs. Washington in Week 1, thanks in no small part to their offensive line’s inability to block. That said, Lane Johnson got in a full practice on Friday and is expected to play, so that should at least partially rectify that problem
More importantly, this line just represents a lot of value. The initial spread in this game was Philly -3, so we’re getting 4.5 points of spread movement after just one game. There have been no injuries to dictate such a move – if anything the Eagles are getting healthier – so this seems like a pretty massive overreaction.
Additionally, the public wants absolutely nothing to do with the Eagles at the moment. Philly is receiving just 28% of the spread bets in this contest and teams that receive less than 30% of the spread bets in Week 2 and Week 3 have historically posted a record of 95-65-3 against the spared. That’s good for a return on investment of +15.5%.
The Pick: Eagles +1.5
The Cowboys are coming off a loss in Week 1 vs. the Rams, which has caused this line to drop from 7.0 to just 4.5. That said, is losing by three points on the road vs. the Rams really that disappointing? The Rams were in the Super Bowl just two years ago and have plenty of talent across their roster.
Dallas did sustain a couple of injuries in that contest. Starting TE Blake Jarwin will miss the rest of the season after tearing his ACL and Leighton Vander Esch will miss at least the next six weeks after undergoing surgery on his collarbone. The Vander Esch injury is a bit concerning since Sean Lee is also out with an injury but MLB is arguably the least important position in football. The Cowboys could overcome it with their pass rush, which features an elite trio of DeMarcus Lawrence, Emerson Griffen and Aldon Smith.
Meanwhile, the Falcons got absolutely torched by the Seahawks in Week 1. Atlanta ultimately fell behind, 31-12, before ultimately closing the gap a bit during garbage time. This spread suggests that the Cowboys are just 1.5 points better than the Falcons on a neutral field, which feels absolutely crazy to me. This should be a prime get-right spot for their offense in particular, which ranked second in Football Outsiders’ offensive DVOA last season.
The Pick: Cowboys -4.5
Washington’s pass rush got a lot of attention after an eight-sack performance in Week 1. Washington has five first-round picks across the defensive line, including last year’s No. 2 pick Chase Young. He entered the league as the best pass rush prospect to come out of the same school that produced both Bosa brothers, so this unit definitely figures to be improved in 2020.
Still, I’m taking that performance vs. the Eagles with a grain of salt. Washington was down three starters on the offensive line, so it would’ve been disappointing if Washington didn’t make life miserable for Carson Wentz.
On the other hand, the Cardinals looked legit in a Week 1 win over the San Francisco 49ers. New addition DeAndre Hopkins gives Kyler Murray a legit top option in the pass game and the Cardinals quietly ranked second in rushing offense DVOA last season. The Cardinals have the potential to be one of the best offensive teams in football in 2020.
Even if Washington does get a lot of pressure on Murray in this contest, that doesn’t necessarily mean they will rack up a bunch of sacks. Murray is one of the best athletes at the QB position and he rushed for a career-high 91 yards vs. the 49ers’ excellent pass rush in Week 1.
The Pick: Cardinals -6.5
If those picks don’t interest you, there are 10 other games to choose from on Sunday’s slate.
Pick: Bears -5.5
Pick: Bucs -9.5
Pick: Bills -5.5
Pick: Jets +7.5
Pick: Broncos +7.5
Pick: Colts -3.5
Pick: Texans +7.5
Pick: Chiefs -8.5
Pick: Patriots +3.5
Pick: Raiders +5.5
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