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Fantasy Baseball Picks: Top DraftKings MLB DFS Targets, Values for September 20

Matt LaMarca gives his top studs and values at each position for Sunday’s eight-game DraftKings MLB slate, which locks at 1:05 p.m. ET.

There are plenty of options available in the sports world today, but don’t forget about baseball! Sunday’s main MLB slate starts at 1:05 p.m. ET and features eight games to choose from. Let’s take a look at some of the top studs and values at each position to help you set your DraftKings lineups.

Set your DraftKings lineups here: MLB $20K Extra Inning [$5K to 1st]


PITCHER

Stud

Max Scherzer, WSH @ MIA, $10,700 – The battle for the top pitching spot comes down to either Scherzer or Carlos Carrasco ($10,400). Both players look like excellent options, but I’m giving the slight edge to Scherzer. His numbers are down a bit in 2020, but he’s still pitched to a 3.30 FIP and 12.77 K/9.

He’s in an excellent spot today vs. the Marlins, who have struggled against right-handed pitchers this season. They rank just 21st in wRC+ vs. right-handed pitchers, and they also own the fifth-highest strikeout rate. There is currently no line on this game on DraftKings Sportsbook, but expect the Marlins to own one of the lowest implied team totals on the slate. This game is also scheduled for just seven innings, which gives Scherzer an increased chance at a complete game shutout.

Other Options – Carlos Carrasco ($10,400)

Value

Deivi Garcia, NYY @ BOS, $7,600 – Garcia will be making just fifth career start, but he’s been impressive in his brief MLB action. He’s pitched to a 3.28 ERA and 8.76 K/9, and he’s pitched at least six innings in three of his first four outings. That gives him a larger workload that most of the other young starters in baseball at the moment.

Garcia will also be facing a watered-down version of the Red Sox lineup. They don’t have Xander Bogaerts at the moment, and their projected starters have posted a ridiculous 37.0% strikeout rate vs. right-handers over the past 12 months. With that in mind, Garcia has tons of upside at his current salary.

Other Options – Josh Lindblom ($8,100), Sandy Alcantara ($7,000)


CATCHER

Stud

Yasmani Grandal, CWS @ CIN, $4,800 – The White Sox currently own the third-best record in baseball thanks mostly to their potent offense. They’ve averaged the sixth-most runs per game this season, and they rank seventh in wRC+ vs. right-handed pitchers. They’ll be taking on a mediocre right-hander today in Jared Lorenzen ($6,100), who has posted a 4.56 ERA through his first 25 2/3 innings in 2020.

Grandal is expect to bat second in the White Sox’ lineup, which is an unusually high spot for a catcher. That said, Grandal is not your typical offensive catcher. He’s been at his best vs. southpaws this season, but Grandal has still posted an above average wRC+ vs. right-handers.

Other Options – Travis d’Arnaud ($4,700), Christian Vazquez ($4,200)

Value

Austin Hedges, CLE @ DET, $2,200 – Hedges is pretty limited offensively, but it should be safe to fire him up today vs. Tigers’ left-hander Matt Boyd ($8,400). Hedges is a right-handed batter, and Boyd has allowed a disastrous .422 wOBA to right-handed batters this season. Hedges is dirt-cheap at just $2,200, so he allows you to load up at some of the other positions on today’s slate.

Other Options – Pedro Severino ($3,700), Wilson Ramos ($3,000)


FIRST BASE

Stud

Freddie Freeman, ATL @ NYM, $5,600 – Freeman has been an absolute monster offensively this season. He’s posted a 192 wRC+, which is the second-best mark among all qualified batters this season. Only Juan Soto has a better wRC+ this season, and he’s done it over a much smaller sample size.

Freeman has unsurprisingly been at his best vs. right-handed pitchers, and he’ll be facing a very mediocre right-hander today in Rick Porcello ($7,800). He’s pitched to a 6.06 ERA this season, and Freeman enters this contest in insane recent form. He’s posted a 253 wRC+ since the start of September, and he’s averaged 16.8 DKFP over his past 10 games.

Other Options – Joey Votto ($4,600), Edwin Encarnacion ($4,200)

Value

Carlos Santana, CLE @ DET, $3,600 – It’s been a disappointing year for Santana, who has struggled to an 89 wRC+ through 51 games. That said, he obviously has an excellent track record, and he has been better when facing left-handed pitching. I’m fine with using any of the Indians’ right-handed bats today vs. Boyd, and Santana fits that description.

Other Options – Yuli Gurriel ($3,500), Dan Vogelbach ($3,100)


SECOND BASE

Stud

Jose Altuve, HOU vs. ARI, $4,200 – Maybe Altuve’s days of being an elite offensive second baseman are behind him, but he’s hard to ignore today vs. Madison Bumgarner ($6,900). Bumgarner has been nothing short of a disaster in his first year with the Diamondbacks, pitching to an 8.53 ERA and 8.94 FIP. He’s been arguably the worst pitcher in baseball this season vs. right-handed batters in particular, allowing them to post a .458 wOBA and average 4.18 HRs per nine innings.

The Astros lead the slate with an implied team total of 5.7 runs on DraftKings Sportsbook, so I have no problem targeting Altuve in this matchup.

Other Options – D.J. LeMahieu ($5,500), Cesar Hernandez ($4,500)

Value

Josh Rojas, ARI @ HOU, $3,300 – On the other side of that matchup, Rojas has some appeal the Diamondbacks’ projected leadoff hitter. He doesn’t have a great matchup on paper vs. Jose Urquidy ($7,300), but Urquidy is almost certainly due for some regression moving forward. He’s posted an excellent 2.70 ERA, but his 5.76 xFIP is mediocre at best.

Other Options – Hanser Alberto ($3,800), Josh VanMeter ($2,500)


THIRD BASE

Stud

Alex Bregman, HOU vs. ARI, $4,800 – Third base is absolutely loaded today. I gave strong consideration to Jose Ramirez ($5,300) for the top spot, but it’s hard to pass up on Bregman vs. Bumgarner at just $4,800. Bregman has had a bit of a down year offensively, but he remains one of the best hitters in the league vs. left-handed pitchers. He’s posted a 197 wRC+ in those matchups this season, so he has to be licking his chops given Bumgarner’s struggles vs. right-handed batters.

Other Options – Jose Ramirez ($5,300)

Value

Eugenio Suarez, CIN vs. CWS, $4,000 – Suarez isn’t a true “value” at $4,000, but that still represents an excellent price tag for him. Suarez is another player who has disappointed a bit in 2020, but he still possesses a ton of power. He launched 49 HRs in 2019, so he has the potential to get hot quickly.

Other Options – Eduardo Escobar ($3,700), Josh VanMeter ($2,500)


SHORTSTOP

Stud

Francisco Lindor, CLE @ DET, $5,200 – Lindor benefits from the same elite matchup as the rest of his teammates, and he’s been solid vs. left-handed pitchers in 2020. He hasn’t hit for a ton of power in those matchups – he’s yet to homer off a southpaw this season – but he’s still posted a very respectable .342 wOBA. Shortstop is one of the weaker positions on today’s slate, so paying up for Lindor feels like a solid strategy for cash games.

Other Options – Adalberto Mondesi ($4,400), Gleyber Torres ($4,300)

Value

Willy Adames, TB @ BAL, $4,000 – The Rays have the second-best record in baseball this season, yet the casual fan probably wouldn’t recognize most of the names in their lineup. That includes Adames, who has blossomed into an excellent hitter in 2020. He’s a right-handed batter who absolutely feasts on southpaws, posting a 156 wRC+ in those matchups. He’ll be facing a left-hander today in John Means ($6,500) who has struggled to a 6.69 FIP over 32.0 innings this season.

Other Options – Carlos Correa ($4,200), Willi Castro ($3,400)


OUTFIELD

Stud

George Springer, HOU vs. ARI, $4,700 – Springer is the final elite right-handed batter to consider for the Astros today. He will also have the splits advantage vs. Bumgarner, and he’s expected to occupy the key leadoff spot in the lineup. Springer is a right-handed batter who has historically done better against right-handers than left-handers, but he’s still posted a .310 ISO vs. southpaws in 2020. That gives him plenty of upside in this matchup.

The only real concern with the Astros today is their likely ownership. Stacking their right-handed batters vs. Bumgarner will likely be a very popular strategy, so make sure to diversify your lineup elsewhere if you choose to go that route.

Other Options – Ronald Acuna Jr. ($5,900), Brandon Nimmo ($4,000)

Value

Randy Arozarena, TB @ BAL, $3,300 – Arozarena is another one of those unsung batters for the Rays. He will likely be in the leadoff spot vs. Means, which makes him very appealing at just $3,300. Arozarena has teed off on left-handers over the past 12 months, posting a .481 wOBA and .563 ISO in those matchups. That makes him too cheap to pass up at such a minimal salary.

Other Options – Shogo Akiyama ($2,900), Avisail Garcia ($2,900)

Set your DraftKings lineups here: MLB $20K Extra Inning [$5K to 1st]


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is mlamarca) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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