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Fantasy Hockey Picks: DraftKings NHL Lightning vs. Stars Showdown Targets for September 21

Matt Meiselman gets you ready for Monday’s Lightning-Stars Showdown slate on DraftKings with ownership and pricing analysis.

2020 NHL Stanley Cup Final - Game One Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images

In a busy weekend of sports, Game 1 of the Stanley Cup was one of many major sporting events as the Tampa Bay Lightning and Dallas Stars began their final step in their quests for the Cup. The Lightning entered the finals after closing out the New York Islanders, while the Stars made it to this point after an impressive upset victory over arguably the best team in the Western Conference in the Vegas Golden Knights. The Stars are off to a 1-0 series lead following Game 1 and the Lightning will be looking to get back to even in tonight’s Game 2.

Set your DraftKings lineups here: NHL $30K Quest for the Cup [$10K to 1st] (DAL vs TB)


Game 1 Top Performers

The Stars continued to ride hot goaltending as they’ve done throughout the playoffs, and Anton Khudobin ($10,200) has been the top performer, at least in terms of DKFP, more often than not in Stars games throughout the postseason. Khudobin stopped 35 of the 36 shots he faced as the Stars cruised to a 4-1 victory despite only registering 20 shots on goal themselves. As evidenced above, Khudobin continues to be a popular play in Showdown contests due to how well he’s played, and he was only a fraction less owned than Lightning goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy ($10,600).


DraftKings Showdown Strategy

The ownership trends figure to continue for Game 2 after Khudobin led the field in scoring, but it’s always a given that Tampa Bay’s first line will be the top owned line as well. This makes for an interesting set up where the top end of the ownership hierarchy is in direct conflict and while grouping all of the top ownership together is almost always something to try to avoid in tournaments, it’s especially problematic in a situation like this where it’s scorers against an opposing goalie. There’s essentially a choice that needs to be made between Lightning scoring and Stars goaltending.

The other apparent trend from Game 1 is that depth scorers continue to be overlooked, as they often are in NHL Showdown slates, with several solid options at low ownership. The Lightning actually didn’t have a single forward outside of their first line at over 12.5% owned, and it was roughly the same story for the Stars as well. This isn’t to say that the first lines aren’t popular for good reasons, but mixing in depth lines is probably the way to go on this slate and likely the coming slates in the Stanley Cup Final.


Injury to Watch

Roope Hintz ($6,600)

Stars forward Roope Hintz sustained an injury late in Game 1 and his status is still TBD heading into tonight’s Game 2. The status of Hintz will be important for the Stars as he’s arguably their best forward (outside of their first line) but it also has the potential to impact the way the Stars arrange their lines. If Hintz plays, he could be a good low-owned option as we saw with Brayden Point ($9,400) when he was injured last round, but if he’s out there’s no telling how the Stars will account for his absence. Hintz exited the game late enough that there wasn’t enough time to get an indication of how the Stars would try to match up without him, so this will be an important situation to keep an eye on throughout the day.

Set your DraftKings lineups here: NHL $30K Quest for the Cup [$10K to 1st] (DAL vs TB)


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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.