This was supposed to be a much more exciting night with the Raiders playing their first home game in Las Vegas on Monday Night Football. While the atmosphere won’t be what we were hoping with the fans, we still have a pretty intriguing game on tap for betting purposes. Here are some bets that jump out in Week 2 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
This matchup sets up nicely for us to see some points on the board. Both teams went over in Week 1 pretty easily (the Raiders by 16 and the Saints by 8.5), and we’re getting a bit of a discounted number here with Michael Thomas (ankle) ruled out. But the Saints still have the playmakers to find the end zone against a cushy Raiders defense. Las Vegas just allowed 30 points to a Carolina team that could barely get on the scoreboard in Week 2 against the Bucs, a defense that Drew Brees shredded back in Week 1. The Raiders will feed Josh Jacobs to stay in this game, but even if it gets away from them a bit, I don’t trust the Saints’ defense to completely shut down the Raiders.
Just like the Raiders, we’re going to ride Jacobs in this contest. He’s the focal point of the offense and Jon Gruden has made a point to get him more involved in the passing game. Jacobs never had more than three catches or five targets in a game last season and set career-highs in both in Week 1 — he hauled in 4-of-6 targets for 46 yards. Something to also keep in mind, Vegas was up big for the majority of that game but the Panthers made up some ground in the fourth quarter. So any passing from behind against the Saints gives Jacobs even more upside.
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Jacobs earned 29 touches last week against the Panthers, 25 of which were carries. The game script doesn’t set up quite as nicely as it did in Carolina, where Vegas was favored against one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL. But the Bucs did have some success rushing the ball in Week 1 in New Orleans, handing it to Ronald Jones and Leonard Fournette a combined 22 times despite losing by double-digits. All of the carries in this backfield go to Jacobs, who should still be in position to get his touches even down a score or two in the second half. Of course, if the Raiders surprise us and are playing from ahead they’ll lean even more heavily on Jacobs. He averaged 18.6 carries per game as a rookie in 2019 and exceeded this number in eight of 13 games, including four of his last five.
Welp, I’ve just projected Jacobs for a minimum of 20 touches in this game if he hits both his overs, which puts him in a pretty good position to score. Jacobs found the end zone three times last week in Carolina and while things won’t be as easy this time around, he’s underpriced for his workload. There’s no other RB competing for more than a few touches on the Raiders, and the options in the passing game are pretty limited right now for Derek Carr. Gruden is also known for scripting drives early in the game, so look for Jacobs to get this one early. He’s worth a look at +600 for the game’s first score.
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