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Fantasy Football Picks: Top DraftKings NFL DFS Running Backs, RB Touch and Target Projections for Week 3

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Reid Fowler gives you his top DraftKings fantasy football picks at running back for Week 3 along with their touch and target projections.

Week 2 was not great, Bob! Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley, Raheem Mostert, Tevin Coleman, Malcolm Brown and Cam Akers all went down with injuries. Barkley is out for the season, and CMC is out multiple weeks with a high-ankle sprain.

Sigh.

The NFL’s version of the ‘Red Wedding’ (Game of Thrones reference) does have a silver lining, even though it doesn’t seem like it. RB pricing on DraftKings is favorable this week, which has a lot to do with the top market players out.

Here are the running backs we should be targeting on DraftKings in Week 3 along with their opportunity projections this week.

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STUDS

Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans at Minnesota Vikings, $7,800

Henry is averaging just under 30 touches in his first two games and gets a matchup against a Vikings defense that looks like one of the league’s worst so far through two games. Anthony Barr is on IR, and their run D is fourth-worst in stuffed rate percentage (tackling RB behind LOS) over the previous two games. With a full head of steam, Henry will be tough to stop; he could see a ton of production this week, especially with the Vikings giving up the third-most rushing attempts to opposing backfields.

Projections

Rushing: 28 attempts

Receiving: 2 Targets; 1 Receptions

Total: 29 Touches


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Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets, $7,000

Taylor’s $1,300 price increase shouldn’t be enough to pass on the Colts’ bell-cow going up against the Jets in Indianapolis. 28 total touches last week gives you the volume floor, which is so valuable. Over two weeks, the Jets’ defense has already given up three red zone scores and an 80-yard touchdown to opposing backfields. The Jets have also given up the highest number of red zone scoring attempts per game to their opponents (5.5). We shouldn’t expect similar touches this week, but don’t be surprised if it’s over 20 against a Jets defense that is giving up an average of 29.5 touches per game to opposing backfields.

Projections

Rushing: 18 Attempts

Receiving: 3 Targets; 2 Receptions

Total: 20 Touches


VALUES

Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers vs. Carolina Panthers, $6,800

Ekeler’s production last week should’ve curbed any question marks we had about his playing time and production. With Justin Herbert ($5,900) under center, Ekeler hauled in 20 touches, and Herbert, who was named the starter for Week 3 on Thursday, targeted his RBs 21 percent of the time. Joshua Kelly ($5,000) seems to be the goal-line back, but Ekeler is in a great spot.

Projections

Rushing: 15 Attempts

Receiving: 7 Targets; 5 Receptions

Total: 20 Touches


David Montgomery, Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons, $5,700

DraftKings Sportsbook has the Bears as 3-point underdogs in Atlanta (at the time of writing this article), which should mean more Tarik Cohen ($4,300), but he only saw two targets last week against an RB-friendly defense with the Detroit Lions. Mitch Trubisky ($5,700) should be throwing a ton in this game, and Cohen isn’t someone we should expect to get ALL the targets in this game, providing Montgomery with some upside against the worst run defense in DOVA so far.

Projections

Rushing: 15 Attempts

Receiving: 4 Targets; 2 Receptions

Total: 17 Touches

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