The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.
1. Brett Moffitt ($11,100) - His truck is the second best truck every single week. Moffitt has a top three driver rating in nine of the last 11 races. In the other two, his rating was fourth and sixth. One of these weeks, GMS will give Moffitt the winning truck.
2. Sheldon Creed ($10,400) - GMS has been nothing short of amazing. Their decision to bail on the Xfinity Series and field five trucks has worked out perfectly. Each of their full time drivers made the playoffs. Creed has three wins this season and he might not be the best driver on the team.
3. Austin Hill ($10,700) - Hattori Racing Enterprises does not mess around at the 1.5 mile ovals. Their intermediate track program is second to none. Hill has earned over 10 hog points in five intermediate track races this season.
4. Zane Smith ($10,100) - Kansas is comparable to Las Vegas. In the Kansas double header, Smith had the second and third highest driver rating. He’s been one of the most impressive rookies in years. In his second race for GMS, he finished fourth at Las Vegas.
5. Chase Purdy ($6,400) - The fifth truck for GMS has been pretty good for a part time truck. Elliott and Mayer have won in this truck. Purdy has steadily improved in this truck. His best finish was his last finish, a 10th place finish at Kansas, a track similar to Las Vegas.
6. Johnny Sauter ($9,500) - Way back in February, no one had a shot at winning the Las Vegas race. Kyle Busch mopped the floor with them. For the field, it was a race for second, and Sauter was the favorite all weekend. He was fast in practice and fast in the race. His 10 fast laps might seem like nothing, but if it wasn’t for Kyle Busch, then he would have run 40 fast laps.
7. Stewart Friesen ($8,100) - It has been a forgettable season for Freisen and for the DFS players that rostered him. His team picked the wrong year to switch manufacturers. The COVID-19 schedule has prevented Friesen’s team from practicing and tuning their new Toyota trucks.
8. Tyler Ankrum ($8,300) - Don’t sleep on the forgotten GMS driver. Ankrum is talented and he has a great truck. Creed, Moffit, and Zane Smith are expected to be in the championship race. They cannot take any risks. Ankrum does not have the same expectations. He can take chances and gamble for wins. Those are the moves that win GPPs.
9. Todd Gilliland ($9,100) - In the first Las Vegas race, Gilliland gained nine spots on pit road during the first pit stop. He then lost four spots during actual racing, but gained seven spots during the next pit stop. Then he lost five more and gained three back. His pit crew was amazing. Him, not so much.
10. Chandler Smith ($8,500) - A sixth place finish in a KBM truck is nothing to write home about. A sixth place finish for Chandler Smith should be a disappointment, but it’s been a strange year. Smith’s had bad luck, but he does not look like the same driver from last year. Is it the lack of practice? Have the KBM trucks taken another step backwards this season?
11. Matt Crafton ($8,700) - The last time the Truck Series raced at a cookie cutter intermediate track was Kansas at the end of July. Crafton won that race and scored 14 hog points. That was Crafton’s first win in four years. Set a reminder in your calendar for July 2024. That’s when we can expect his next win, that is if the world is still here. Big if.
12. Ben Rhodes ($8,900) - Technically, Rhodes won the last intermediate track race. That is if you count Darlington as an intermediate track, and if you even count his win as a win. The only reason Rhodes won is because the three best trucks unwittingly decided to forfeit the lead and pit before the overtime restart.
13. Christian Eckes ($9,900) - Kyle Busch Motorpsorts drivers are expected to win and win often. Eckes has been close a couple times, but he should be close every time. One of the races where he had a race winning truck was the February Las Vegas race.
14. Raphael Lessard ($7,900) - The good news is that Lessard has improved a lot this season. The bad news is that Lessard is statistically the worst full-time KBM driver ever. He still has a couple more races left and an opportunity of removing this dubious title.
15. Grant Enfinger ($9,700) - ThorSport got a lucky win at Darlington, but they followed it up with a dominant performance at Richmond. Enfinger’s win at Richmond is great for momentum, but his mental state is not that important. What matters is his intermediate track setup, and ThorSport has not been great at the 1.5 mile tracks.
16. Conor Daly ($7,600) - Typically, drivers making their Truck Series debut are not great picks. Daly has plenty of experience racing cars, but a Truck couldn’t be any more different than an open wheeled Indy car. Practice sure would help, but Daly will have to rely on iRacing. If the simulator works, and it better because iRacing is sponsoring him, then Daly will be fine in the Niece #42 truck.
17. Spencer Davis ($7,200) - He’s finished 21st or better in seven of his 11 races this season. From his starting position of 32nd, a 21st place finish will work just fine at his price. There is always the worry that his equipment will not hold up, but his trucks have been just as reliable as any other driver.
18. Ryan Truex ($7,700) - His part time ride in the Xfinity Series for JR Motorsports did not work out last season. His part time truck schedule for Niece Motorsports has not worked out either. Truex has failed to earn a top 10 this season, and he might not get another shot unless he does something this weekend.
19. Travis Pastrana ($7,400) - Everybody loves Travis Pastrana, but not because of his stock car career. Patrana has run two races for Niece Motorsports, and he finished 22nd in both races. His most recent race was his 22nd place finish at Kansas in July.
20. Natalie Decker ($4,800) - It’s an intermediate track race. Drivers are nearly flat footed. Skill matters, but not that much. Outside of the top 15, the truck matters more than the driver. As long as Decker doesn’t do anything stupid, she can cruise her Niece truck into the top 25.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.