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Fantasy Hockey Picks: DraftKings NHL Lightning vs. Stars Showdown Targets for September 28

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Matt Meiselman gets you ready for Monday’s Lightning-Stars Showdown slate on DraftKings with ownership and pricing analysis.

2020 NHL Stanley Cup Final - Game Five Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images

The Dallas Stars stayed alive on Saturday with an overtime victory over the Tampa Bay Lightning. Corey Perry ($4,000) scored in the second overtime period to give the Stars a 3-2 win and they’ll be hoping to force a Game 7 as they take the ice for Monday night’s Game 6. The Lightning has its second shot to close out the Stanley Cup, with puck drop scheduled for 8 p.m. ET.

Set your DraftKings fantasy hockey lineups here: NHL Showdown $40K FOR THE CUP [$10K to 1st] (TB vs DAL)


Game 4 and 5 Top Performers

The last few games featured a lot of goal scoring, which was unusual given the strong defensive play from both of these teams over the prior rounds, but Game 5 was an exception to that with Stars goalie Anton Khudobin ($10,200) leading the way in fantasy point scoring. Khudobin stopped 39 of 41 shots en route to the win, and in doing so he kept Tampa Bay’s top scorers in check. Nikita Kucherov ($10,800) was held to single-digit fantasy points in the game, a rare occurrence in what has otherwise been a dominant playoff run.

As you can see from the ownership over the past two games, the top players from the Lightning continue to pace the field. The Stars have had much more evenly distributed goal scoring, while Tampa Bay has been getting an extremely concentrated effort from Kucherov, Brayden Point ($9,400) and Ondrej Palat ($8,400). Victor Hedman ($9,000) reclaimed the quarterback role on the top power-play unit from Mikhail Sergachev ($7,200) earlier in the playoffs and he’s seen a spike in ownership since that point.


DraftKings Showdown Strategy

Staying away from the “chalk” has not been a useful endeavor where Tampa Bay is concerned in this year’s playoffs. Just because these guys are owned by more than half the field every game doesn’t mean that it’s the right move to be fading them. The more important concept when building a Showdown lineup (or any DFS lineup) is that the overall lineup isn’t too highly owned, so when using popular players like Point and Kucherov, it’s important to consider differentiating elsewhere.

There are, in fact, many players in this series who have been going routinely overlooked, specifically the depth forwards from both teams. Corey Perry ($4,000), who was sub-10% owned in each of the past two games, ended up being the highest-scoring forward in Game 5 after he netted the game-winning goal in the second overtime. Perry may not be contrarian anymore after that performance, but there are still plenty of interesting targets, particularly on Tampa Bay’s side. Tyler Johnson ($5,400), Anthony Cirelli ($6,200), and Blake Coleman ($7,400), to name a few, have routinely been in single-digit ownerships throughout the playoffs and figure to stay that way for the remainder of the Stanley Cup.

Set your DraftKings lineups here: NHL Showdown $40K FOR THE CUP [$10K to 1st] (TB vs DAL)


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All views expressed are my own. I am an employee of DraftKings and am ineligible to play in public DFS or DKSB contests.