We’ve got two more great games on Friday’s NBA slate, starting off with the Bucks trying to dig out of a 2-0 hole against the Heat at 6:30 p.m.. ET, followed by the Rockets beginning their series with the Lakers at 9:00 p.m. ET.
Let’s get right to it and break down some of my favorite bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for these contests.
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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat:
This line opened at 5.5 and came back towards the Heat a bit, but I expect it to close near 6 points. Milwaukee, a team with championship aspirations, is absolutely desperate for a win down 2-0. The Bucks seemed to get a good boost from Eric Bledsoe in Game 2, and if they can find some scoring from another guard (Wes Matthews, maybe Donte DiVincenzo if he makes it off the bench?) they should be fine.
I am backing Milwaukee with caution, but we will see their best punch in Game 3 with their backs against the wall. Their best punch all season long has been maybe the best in the league. Mike Budenholzer may get out-coached, but Giannis Antetokounmpo will be the best player on the floor and I think that means the most in the end.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat:
As bettors, we tend to trust our gut and let recency bias cloud our judgment. I think that’s the case in this series. Have the Bucks struggled since the restart? Of course. Does it feel like the Heat are going to run Milwaukee right out of here in five games? It does. But this price, on one of the NBA Finals favorites, is impossible to pass up. I’m not sure Milwaukee makes it all the way out of the East, but it’s going to take a lot more then the Heat to stop them. We’ve seen how dangerous this team will be and I expect the odds to shift sharply after a dominating Game 3 win.
Houston Rockets vs. Los Angeles Lakers:
Some may think the Lakers will come out slow here having not played in a little while, but I expect them to assert their dominance in this series in a large way. We know LeBron’s Game 1 record is very solid; he understands how a statement win can dictate a series. The Rockets simply missed too many shots in their opening round playoff series — their best shooters hovered around 35% from three last series — and that will not cut it against a team that uses their possessions efficiently like the Lakers. This should be close for a while before the Rockets hit a shooting slump and the Lakers pull away. That team just looked too dominant in the first round, and have the wings to match up defensively with Houston’s shooters.
I actually think the unders will be in play throughout the series, with both defenses coming in pretty stout, but I am more confident in the Rockets’ tired legs forcing them to miss shots, and the Lakers running it up.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.