The PGA TOUR travels to the Sanderson Farms Championship, which used to be an alternate field event played alongside the WGC-HSBC Champions and the Open Championship. Past winners here include Sebastian Munoz, who was +6600 last year, Cameron Champ, who was +5000 in 2018, Ryan Armour, who was +12500 in 2017 and Cody Gribble, who was +12500 in 2016. The average odds of past winners are +9150, which should tell us that our longshots should be live this week. Speaking of which, the past six winners registered their first win on the PGA TOUR at the Sanderson Farms Championship.
Hopefully, you got this earlier in the week when it was longer. Redman is one of the best ball-strikers in the field and is getting it close, ranking 14th in opportunities gained and eighth in putting over his last 12 rounds. Redman’s weekend golf is even more appealing, ranking first in approach and opportunities gained, second in par 4 scoring on holes measuring 400 to 450 yards and 18th in putting over his last six weekends.
Davis’ game has similar qualities to 2019 winner Cameron Champ with his length off-the-tee, but it was Champ’s putter that separated him from the competition, gaining 9.1 strokes on the greens. Davis comes to the Country Club of Jackson with a hot putter. Davis should have an advantage on the par 5s, ranking fourth since the restart with his length. Davis also ranks second on par 4s measuring 400 to 450 yards since June. Si Woo Kim at +5000 is also someone we should be considering this week, especially on bermuda.
We’ve seen two of the past four winners come from this price range, and no one in the field ranks better than Norlander in approach and fairways gained since the restart. He’s struggled with his putter over his last four starts, but bermuda is his preferred surface, and he’s shown he can place high with top finishes at the Rocket Mortgage Classic (12th) and the Memorial (6th) back in July. Davis Riley at +13000 is also a longshot we should be looking into this week. Riley is a rising star on the Korn Ferry Tour, notching two wins already this season.
Great ball-strikers going head-to-head may be tough to predict, but Conners not being able to putt isn’t. Even though we’re laying some juice with Burns, trusting Conners to have four straight days with an average putter isn’t advised and will be a sweat if he makes the cut. Conners ranks near the bottom in putting, and it doesn’t get much better on bermuda, ranking 113th over his last 12 rounds. Burns, on the other hand, ranks 25th in putting on bermuda over the same time frame.
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