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Fantasy Basketball Picks: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Targets, Values for September 5

Matt LaMarca gives his top studs and value plays at each position for Saturday’s fantasy basketball slate on DraftKings, which starts at 6:30 p.m. ET.

Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics - Game Three Photo by Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images

Saturday features a two-game slate starting at 6:30 p.m. ET. The action gets underway with Game 4 between the Raptors and Celtics, with Toronto trying to even that series up after snatching Game 3 at the buzzer.

After that, the Clippers will take on the Nuggets at 9 p.m. ET, with Los Angeles looking to grab a commanding 2-0 series lead.

Let’s take a look at some of the top studs and values at each position on DraftKings.

Set your DraftKings lineups here: NBA $450K Shootaround [$100K to 1st]


Point Guard

Stud

Kyle Lowry, TOR @ BOS, $7,800 – Lowry is coming off a monster workload in Game 3 vs. the Celtics. He played 46.5 minutes in a regulation contest, which is almost impossible in 2020. He responded with 54.0 DKFP and he’s averaged 1.14 DKFP per minute this season. He might not play 46.5 minutes again but he seems like a lock to play more than 40 as long as the game stays competitive. That makes Lowry one of the best values on the slate at just $7,800.

Other Options – Kemba Walker ($8,000)

Value

Patrick Beverley, LAC vs. DEN, $3,600 – Beverley returned to the Clippers’ rotation in their last contest after missing each of the past five games with a calf injury. He was heavily limited in that contest – he played just 12.2 minutes – but it’s possible he could’ve played more in the second half if that game had stayed competitive. Either way, he should be looking at a larger workload today even though he will remain on a minutes limit.

Beverley still managed to score 19.0 DKFP in his last game, which would make him a fine play at his current salary. Overall, Beverley has averaged 1.20 DKFP per minute over the past month, so he doesn’t need a ton of playing time to rack up fantasy points.

Other Options – Monte Morris ($4,100)


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Shooting Guard

Stud

Fred VanVleet, TOR @ BOS, $7,700 – VanVleet has struggled with his shot in this series. He’s shot just 33.3% from the field and 27.8% from three-point range but that hasn’t stopped him from putting up a huge volume of shot attempts through the first three games. He led the Raptors with a usage rate of 30.3% in Game 3, so he has monster upside if his jump shot starts falling.

Other Options – Paul George ($8,200), Jaylen Brown ($7,600)

Value

Gary Harris, DEN @ LAC, $4,000 – Harris is still being eased back into the Nuggets’ rotation but it’s hard to find someone with such a cheap price tag and comparable minute projection on today’s slate. He could see upward of 30 minutes if this game stays competitive and Harris has historically averaged 23.83 DKFP when he plays between 28 and 32 minutes. That would make him a solid option at just $4,000.

Other Options – Marcus Smart ($6,500), Torrey Craig ($3,600)


Small Forward

Stud

Kawhi Leonard, LAC vs. DEN, $10,400 – The only thing that has been able to stop Leonard during the playoffs has been a blowout. He scored at least 50.75 DKFP in each of his first six playoff games before “struggling” to just 41.5 DKFP over 32 minutes in his last game. Leonard has been playing closer to 40 minutes during the playoffs, so he easily could’ve eclipsed 50 yet again if his last game was more competitive. Overall, Leonard has averaged 1.50 DKFP per minute this season, which makes him the most productive player on the slate on a per-minute basis. Maybe the Clippers will run away with today’s contest as well – they’re currently favored by 9.5 points on DraftKings Sportsbook – but Leonard still has the highest ceiling, median and floor among all of today’s options.

Other Options – None

Value

OG Anunoby, TOR @ BOS, $5,600 – Anunoby got to play the hero in the Raptors’ Game 3 win. He drained a game-winning three-pointer as time expired after the Celtics made the curious decision to leave him wide open.

Anunoby has also been excellent from a fantasy perspective during the postseason. He’s exceeded his salary-based scoring expectation in each of his first seven games and he’s scored at least 32.25 DKFP in his past two. He’s gotten more expensive on DraftKings for today’s matchup but he still looks like a solid value given his expected volume.

Other Options – Michael Porter Jr. ($5,100), Marcus Morris ($5,400)


Power Forward

Stud

Pascal Siakam, TOR @ BOS, $7,900 Siakam has been a disaster so far in this series, which makes this an excellent buy-low opportunity. He’s still playing a ton of minutes for the Raptors but he’s shot just 36.2% from the field and 18.2% from three-point range. Buying low on talented players like Siakam is almost always a good idea and I’m expecting better performances from him in the future.

Other Options – Jayson Tatum ($9,300)

Value

Daniel Theis, BOS vs. TOR, $5,500 – Theis has been a steady producer for the Celtics during the playoffs and he’s scored at least 25.5 DKFP in three of his past four games. That includes each of his first two games vs. the Raptors before a slightly disappointing effort in Game 3. Theis has averaged 1.00 DKFP per minute this season and he should see around 30 minutes in Game 4.

Other Options – Paul Millsap ($4,600)


Center

Stud

Nikola Jokic, DEN @ LAC, $9,500 – Jokic is the only real stud option to consider at the center position today but he hasn’t really played like a stud during the playoffs. His minutes are up – which has saved him from being a complete disaster – but his per-minute production has dropped to just 1.27 DKFP per minute. That’s subpar for a player of his caliber.

The Nuggets’ offense has run more through Jamal Murray ($9,100) than Jokic during the playoffs, which has limited his ability to pile up the peripherals. Jokic is a nightly triple-double threat but he doesn’t appear to have as much upside as he did in the past. He should still be the highest scoring center on today’s slate but I’m proceeding with caution.

Other Options – None

Value

Ivica Zubac, LAC vs. DEN, $4,800 – Luckily, there are a few strong value options to consider at the center position. It starts with Zubac, who has the potential to play a bit more than usual given this matchup vs. the Nuggets. Zubac has been very productive on a per-minute basis this season (1.15 DKFP per minute) so any additional playing time would be massive for his fantasy value.

Other Options – Montrezl Harrell ($4,300), Robert Williams ($3,800)


Set your DraftKings lineups here: NBA $450K Shootaround [$100K to 1st]


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is mlamarca) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

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