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NBA Best Bets: Basketball Predictions to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook for September 9

Matt LaMarca gives his best bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Wednesday’s NBA betting card.

Wednesday features a two-game NBA slate. It starts with Game 6 between the Raptors and Celtics at 6:30 p.m. ET, and the Celtics will be trying to punch their ticket to the Eastern Conference Finals. They’re coming off a dominant win in Game 5, so they need just one more victory to win the series.

After that, we have Game 4 between the Nuggets and the Clippers. The Clippers took a 2-1 series lead in their last contest, so they will take a commanding 3-1 lead if they can win on Wednesday.

Let’s break down some of my favorite bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Wednesday’s NBA slate.

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Toronto Raptors vs. Boston Celtics:

Celtics -3 (-110)

Editor’s Note: Raptors C Serge Ibaka (ankle) will be available to play tonight vs. the Celtics.

It’s impossible to overstate how bad the Raptors were offensively in their last game. They averaged just 77.9 points per 100 possessions in their half-court offense, which ranks in the ninth percentile according to Cleaning the Glass. The Raptors were particularly poor from behind the arc, making just 28.6% of their 3-point attempts.

Can they bounce back in Game 6? I would expect some positive offensive regression, but I still don’t think it will be enough.

Making matters worse is that Serge Ibaka may be out or limited. He’s questionable with an ankle injury, and he was wearing a walking boot on Tuesday. If he’s out, the Raptors will have to lean a little heavier on Marc Gasol, who has not played particularly well during the playoffs. He’s shooting just 41.4% from the field and has gone 0-10 from the 3-point line.

The sharps have also pounded the Celtics since this line opened. They garnered 67% of the spread bets in this contest, and those bets have accounted for 97% of the total money wagered.

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $450K Shootaround [$100K to 1st]

Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers:

Clippers -7.5 (-113)

The Clippers somewhat surprisingly dropped Game 2 of this series, but I’m not expecting another slip up. Quite simply, this is the best team in basketball when they’re at full strength. They haven’t played a ton of contests with their full roster this season, but they’ve been dominant in those situations.

Patrick Beverley is still playing limited minutes, but that’s really the only injury they’re still dealing with.

They only won by six points in their last contest, but they were able to overcome a sub-par contest from Kawhi Leonard. He shot just 9-19 from the field and 1-6 from 3-point line, so he should have a better performance in Game 4.

The Nuggets also got a nice boost off the bench from Michael Porter Jr. in the last game – he scored 18 points and pulled down 10 rebounds – and the Nuggets posted a mark of +6 with Porter on the court. That said, the Nuggets have actually decreased their Net Rating by -1.5 points per 100 possessions with MPJ on the court this season, so his minutes should actually hurt the Nuggets in the long run.

Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers:

Clippers to win series 4-1

Since the Clippers are pretty massive favorites to win in Game 4 – they’re -345 on the moneyline – I have no problem in backing them to win Game 5 as well.

I said it before and I’ll say it again: The Clippers are simply the best team in basketball right now.

Kawhi and Paul George are simply the best 1-2 punch in basketball, and Beverley, Marcus Morris, and Lou Williams is one of the best supporting casts in the league as well. The Nuggets have been one of the luckier teams in basketball this season, so they’re simply no match for this juggernaut.

I’m looking forward to seeing the Clippers get a real test in the next round, presumably from the Lakers, but the title is theirs to lose now that the Bucks are out of the picture.

Place your bets at DraftKings Sportsbook or by downloading the DK Sportsbook app.

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $450K Shootaround [$100K to 1st]

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is mlamarca) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.