Plenty jumping out on this Super Tuesday, so let’s get right into it on DraftKings Sportsbook. I’m taking four sides in some primetime games.
Be sure to follow along on Twitter, as news changes quickly, and live plays present themselves — @julianedlow.
This is a couple of heavyweights, with Wisconsin at 10-2 and Michigan at a perfect 10-0. But it’s the Wolverines that have been red-hot on the spread at 8-2 ATS, while the Badgers are 6-6 ATS. Michigan has won all but one game this season by double digits, failing to cover -7 in a four-point victory over Penn State. Wisconsin is a legitimate opponent, hence the short spread for such a hot team, but I can’t go against the way Michigan is clicking. Wisconsin lost as a 9.5-point favorite to Maryland as a recent common opponent, which Michigan handled by 11 as a 2.5-point favorite. You can see in the numbers, the market might be a little down on Michigan, which we’ll look to capitalize on here at home.
Virginia Tech is a really solid squad this season, sitting at 9-2 and 7-4 ATS. The Hokies have covered five of their last six, and now fade Duke in a perfect fade spot. Duke is just 5-2 in seven games this season, and a pathetic 1-6 ATS. Duke got smoked by both Michigan State and Illinois at home for their two losses, and have been squeaking by mediocre competition in ACC play. Playing at Virginia Tech has historically been a down spot for Duke, so getting who I believe to be the better team as a slight home dog makes for a terrific play.
Couple of average teams on the spread here, but I like the spot and momentum for Kansas. The Jayhawks followed up a blowout loss to Texas with a blowout win over TCU, but then failed to cover in a narrow win over Oklahoma. Set up another bounce-back spot here on the road, where Kansas is 2-0 straight up and ATS. Oklahoma State is having a solid season, but are generally overvalued at home. The Cowboys are just 3-2 at home with losses to big programs, but the 1-4 ATS is crucial here. At a short number, give me the Jayhawks.
So this is the crucial point in Kentucky’s season where we find out what they actually are. After a historically bad start to the season, the Wildcats are on a three-game winning streak. They almost lost to an awful Vandy squad, but dug deep at home to comeback and win, though they were nowhere close to covering as 11.5-point favorites. Last game, the momentum carried over, as they won by 18 as four-point dogs versus Florida. This is the game they either prove they’ve turned the corner, or, as I suspect, regress to the team we’ve seen disappoint all season. Alabama is a really talented team, sitting at 9-3 straight up and 7-4-1 ATS. The Tide are 2-0 and 1-0-1 ATS on the road, and catch Kentucky feeling good about itself. Love the letdown spot here with ‘Bama sneaking up.
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