Wild Card weekend was a blast, but now the big dogs come out to eat in the Divisional Round. With more than ever to bet on in the NFL playoffs, here are a few plays that stand out most on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Nothing official for me on the first game. The Cam Akers rushing prop is the popular one that everyone is on, but it’s way too juiced up to back at this point, especially for a road dog. I heavily lean to the Packers winning this game, so putting them in a moneyline parlay or teaser would be the move for me. Aaron Jones and Davante Adams, even in the matchup with Jalen Ramsey, stick out as anytime touchdown scorers.
The Ravens got it done as road favorites last week, and this time become the road dogs in Buffalo. The Bills just went down to the wire with the Colts, and I think a more difficult matchup against Baltimore will prove tough to defend. Philip Rivers completed 14 passes to his three TEs for well over 100 yards, and Mark Andrews is Lamar Jackson’s favorite target. The Bills can be gashed on the ground and have to deal with Lamar, plus J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards. The Ravens have the second-best third-down offense as well as the second-best third-down defense in the NFL. John Harbaugh is 10-3 ATS on the road in the postseason. And historically this is also a good spot in recent trends. Of the past 12 road dogs of three points or less, the dog has won eight times straight up.
Not too much goes into this one. Buffalo gets carved on the ground and Jackson is the ultimate weapon. More importantly, he’s more willing to run in games with more on the line, and there’s certainly plenty to play for here. Look for him to rip off a couple of big ones like he did last week in Tennessee when he finished with a 16-136-1 line.
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The Bills were the fourth-worst team defensively against TE this season and we just saw Rivers absolutely shred this defense when it comes to targeting and converting to the TE position. Andrews is coming off a couple of down games, but he’s Jackson’s favorite target and should be heavily involved in this contest for Baltimore to have success.
So I’d rather let this move up a couple of yards and get back closer to standard juice, so we’ll see what this looks like on Sunday. The Browns rank in the bottom three in the NFL defending TE, and now face the guy that just set the single-season receiving record for the position. While the game script left Pittsburgh no choice but to sling it last week, Eric Ebron still finished with a 7-62-1 line on 11 targets in this matchup. Kelce averaged 94.4 yards per game this season and should go for 100-plus given the favorable matchup. The Browns should try and take away the home run deep ball to Tyreek Hill, leading to more volume here.
Hooper was tremendous last week against the Steelers, finishing with a 7-46-1 line on 11 targets. He gets another good matchup here against the Chiefs, who were the second-worst team defending TE this season. The yards should be a safe play, and we’ll see heavy targets here to Hoop, especially if game script holds. If we ever see the receptions prop move off -177 juice, I’d consider that the stronger play.
Entering Week 12, Chubb had a total of 17 receiving yards on the season. But since that point, Cleveland has made a clear effort to involve their best ball carrier more in the passing game. He’s posted at least 16 receiving yards in six of his past seven games, including hauling in all four of his targets for 69 yards last week.
I’m invested in some Tampa futures at strong prices from just before the Tom Brady trade, but the Saints have owned this matchup this season. We should see a good game, but I do strongly lean Saints moneyline in this game.
Whether Tampa is playing from behind or not, we can’t ignore that Brady is simply obsessed with Brown for some reason. Brown has all five of his receiving touchdowns over the past four games, scoring at least once in each contest. It also doesn’t hurt that Mike Evans, who is one of TB12’s favorite red-zone targets, should be shadowed by Marshon Lattimore, who has dominated that matchup in this rivalry. Any targets that are taken away from Evans help AB out here. Brown’s underpriced to score in the game.
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