It’s Week 17 in the NFL, and what better way to send off this strange, topsy-turvy season by hitting some more player props? I am backing a pair of key players to go off in must-win games while taking two low totals on players trending up. Here are my favorite prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook.
I’m going to try and stick to the games that matter in Week 17, and there is a lot on the line between the Giants and Cowboys. The winner here would make the playoffs with a Washington loss, so both teams will push hard for this one. I think Dallas will lean on the pass against this weak Giants secondary, which has allowed over 240 yards per game to opposing passers. The Giants do rank sixth with under three touchdowns allowed per game to opposing offenses, but they’ve allowed seven two-touchdown games to quarterbacks, and Dalton has thrown for 13 touchdowns in six games since his return from injury in Week 11. I wanted to find a way to back the Cowboys’ passing attack this week, especially with how Dalton played last Sunday, and I think this, rather than his kinda-high passing total, is the way to go.
I am stunned to get even odds on this. Berrios has proven himself as one of the more reliable receivers for the Jets, going for four multi-catch games in a row and totaling 10 catches on 13 targets over that span. Now, he gets to face his former team in the Patriots, who drafted him in 2018 before waiving him. As silly as it sounds, in a game that is meaningless the Jets will probably make a point here to get Berrios some looks to prove New England wrong. Even without the revenge factor, this is a fantastic play on a receiver that is quickly forcing his way into the Jets’ future plans. I love this spot.
I’m going back to the well with Hilton, who will be playing in a meaningful game on Sunday with the Colts aiming to lock up a spot in the postseason. I went deep on Hilton in my Week 17 early predictions, but I’ll sum up why I love him in this spot. For starters, this Jaguars defense doesn’t have anyone that can run with Hilton, and now top corner Sidney Jones is on IR. Second, Hilton has gotten over three yards of separation on average in his past two games, which ranks well above league average and above his season mark, and has caught 61% of his targets this season.
Hilton has an average of eight targets over his past four games, and I’m not concerned whatsoever that he struggled last week against Pittsburgh, which boasts one of the best secondaries in football. The volume will continue to be there for Hilton, and now he’s got a soft, soft matchup.
Denver has found a go-to guy in Noah Fant. Throwing away the game where he played just five snaps, the tight end has caught 18 passes on 27 targets over his past three games. Whether it’s deep down the field, in the flat or on big third downs, Drew Lock has been looking to get Fant the ball. Lock won’t necessarily be playing for his job on Sunday, but with so many quarterbacks available in the upcoming draft, the 2019 second-round pick is definitely feeling the pressure and would like to leave management with a good taste in their mouths going into the offseason. I expect a big game from the Broncos’ offense, and Fant should be integral.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and I may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.