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Fantasy Football Picks: Top DraftKings NFL DFS Targets, Values for Sunday’s Conference Championship Slate

Steve Buchanan gives his top studs and values at each position for Sunday’s Conference Championship DraftKings NFL slate, which locks at 3:05 p.m. ET.

You came here to see my targets for Sunday’s two-game slate. So, I will tell you what they are.

Follow me on Twitter: @SBuchanan24.

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Unreasonable Odds Podcast Boost: Travis Kelce to record 100-plus receiving yards and score a touchdown, boosted to +225! Check out the DraftKings Sportsbook Odds Boost Specials page for more details!


Quarterback

Stud

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers $6,500 — I love this spot for Rodgers against a Buccaneers secondary that has continually failed to cover opposing receivers. Thus, this has allowed quarterbacks to average 20.4 DKFP, 266 passing yards and 32 touchdowns thrown. I think it’s safe to say that Rodgers has been one of the most consistent quarterbacks in the league, scoring at least 20 DKFP in 14 of his 17 games. The Bucs will throw a good pass rush at Rodgers but the Packers' offensive line has only allowed pressure on 23% of his dropbacks. While the Bucs had Rodgers under pressure on 18 of his 41 dropbacks in Week 6, the lack of good coverage has Rodgers as my favorite QB play this week.

Other Option – Patrick Mahomes ($7,600)


Running Back

Stud

Ronald Jones, Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers, $4,600 — Jones was a full participant in practice on Friday, paving the way for him to return to action against the Packers. The matchup couldn’t get any better against one of the worst run defenses in the league, allowing an average of 27 DKFP, 91.4 rushing and 45 receiving yards per game. Jones already ripped this defense for 23/113/2 back in Week 6 and he’s now $1,400 cheaper than he was in that game. Even in games where Leonard Fournette ($5,300) has been active, Jones averages 26% of the team's total touches.

Value

Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs, $4,500 – Even without Zack Moss in the mix, Singletary had 10 total touches in the Bills’ win over the Ravens, totaling 37 scrimmage yards. The consensus on him couldn’t be lower, as he’s failed to reach double-digit fantasy points in four straight weeks, averaging 5.9 DKFP in that span. Now he’ll draw a favorable matchup against the Chiefs, a run defense that is very beatable. I’m not convinced Singletary will be overly involved but catching out of the backfield could be a vital piece, especially if Josh Allen ($6,900) is having issues hitting his receivers against one of the top secondaries. Singletary is averaging just over three targets per game, making him someone to consider paying down for.


Wide Receiver

Stud

Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, $8,000 — For someone who really likes Rodgers, naturally, I’m pairing him with Adams. I don’t have to tell you how weighted this offense is going to Adams, who finished the regular season with 29.7% of the team's overall targets and 36.4% of the red-zone targets. The matchup is stellar, as he’ll see CB Carlton Davis in coverage. Davis has been targeted against 108 times, allowing a 60.2% catch rate, 14.6 YPR and has been scored on six times. While Rodgers didn’t have a good game against a much better-looking secondary at the time, Adams nabbed three of his five targets against Davis in coverage for 33 yards.

Other Options – Tyreek Hill ($7,200)

Value

John Brown, Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs, $4,300 – Those who took a shot with Brown after being shutout against the Colts were rewarded with 8/62/0 for 14.2 DKFP at a $4,600 salary. This week, he’s $300 cheaper and could be in for another heavy workload against the Chiefs. Stefon Diggs ($7,000) will be dealing with CB Charvarius Ward while Brown should see a healthy dose of CB Bashaud Breeland. While the matchup on paper against Breeland looks daunting, he’s been very beatable lately. Over the past three games, Breeland has been targeted against 15 times, allowing nine receptions for 120 yards, which is an average of 13.3 YPR.

Other Option – Chris Godwin ($5,400)


Tight End

Stud

Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills, $8,000 – Kelce is a priority on this slate. I would be horrified to make a lineup without him, truly. I promise it has nothing to do with myself and Julian Edlow’s podcast “Unreasonable Odds” Odds Boost we have up on the DraftKings Sportsbook either.

But truly, this is such a great matchup for Kelce against a Bills team that really struggles against the tight end position. Kelce went for 5/65/2 in Week 6, good for 22.5 DKFP and that was only with seven targets. He’s seen no less than 10 in five straight weeks, gone over 100 yards in three of those games and has a touchdown in all of them. The Bills were ravaged in the playoffs by tight ends already when the Colts went for 14/136/1. So truly, Kelce is your guy here.

Value

Dawson Knox, Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs, $2,800 – Now, let’s say you want to be different at tight end. The ownership on Kelce is going to be through the roof so going in any other direction will be unique. I’m not crazy excited about playing Knox by any means, as his targets are few and far between. With that said, the Chiefs are also a team that struggles against this position. Knox has seen five targets in the playoffs thus far but did score against the Chiefs in the opening round. He did end the regular season tied for third in red-zone targets, so it’s not as if he can’t score but again, this will help mix up your lineup whereas the field will be paying up.


Defense/Special Teams

Stud

Buffalo Bills D/ST at Kansas City Chiefs, $2,800 – Not crazy about any of the D/ST on this slate if we’re being honest. However, Mahomes is coming in with a foot injury and the Bills’ pass rush has been a strength. Mahomes has been under pressure on 33% of his dropbacks, but as you’d expect, he’s still performed well in that situation. Nonetheless, I’m not going out of my way to drop salary at this position and I’ll take the savings and hope the Bills can get to Mahomes a few times.

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