A few spots are jumping out on this Super Tuesday college basketball card, so let’s get right into it on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Kentucky finally put together a respectable performance on Saturday, starting its home game against LSU on fire and maintaining that lead for the majority of the game. The 82-69 victory improved the Wildcats to 5-9 on the season and 6-8 ATS. Prior to Saturday’s win, Kentucky had won just three of its previous 12 games. Now it goes on the road to face an absolute beast from the SEC in Alabama, and that hasn’t worked well for Kentucky this season. The Wildcats are just 2-6 in games away from home — although, it’s worth noting the 4-4 record ATS. While fading Kentucky has worked well, this is more about backing ‘Bama, who is 13-3 overall, 7-1 at home and 10-5-1 ATS on the season. The Tide rides a nine-game winning streak into this one. Despite missing the cover by 1.5-points in Saturday’s win, Alabama is on a 7-1-1 ATS run. The Tide have steamrolled SEC competition multiple times throughout that streak, with the three wins prior to Saturday’s all coming by 20-plus. One of those wins was by 20 at Kentucky.
These are a couple of very good teams, but Texas is better overall. The Longhorns being at home in this matchup should mean a great deal. Oklahoma has a very solid 9-4 record, going 8-4-1 ATS. But OU has thrived as a home favorite, while going 1-3 and 1-2-1 ATS on the road. The Sooners did just get a signature win at home over Kansas, opening as a favorite, but closing as a slight dog. They hav failed against other top competition, with losses in the last seven games to Kansas, Baylor and Texas Tech. The Longhorns fit the bill as that type of competition and sit at 11-2 on the season. The number has been tough for Texas, going just 2-6 ATS at home, so that’s the red flag here. But I’m willing to lay the points with what I feel is the better team with a huge home court advantage in this matchup.
The Duke fade is on. The Blue Devils are an absolute mess, sitting at an embarrassing 5-5 and 1-9 ATS. Four wins have managed to come at home for Duke, but that also comes with an 0-6 ATS record in their own building. Georgia Tech has played well on the road, going 2-1 ATS, and it’s also been holding its own recently against top ACC competition. GT has covered four games in a row, beating UNC by five, Clemson by 18 and losing to UVA by two, but as an underdog in each game. I have a tough time seeing Duke running away with this one.
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