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Fantasy Basketball Picks: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Lineup Strategy for Timberwolves vs. Warriors Showdown on January 27

Garion Thorne gives his top NBA lineup advice for Wednesday’s fantasy basketball Showdown contest on DraftKings between the Timberwolves and Warriors, which starts at 10:00 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Hawks v Minnesota Timberwolves Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images

No one was anticipating that Karl-Anthony Towns (health protocols) would be limited to just four games to this point in the season, but I still think it’s fair to say that the Minnesota Timberwolves have been a massive disappointment so far in 2020-21. The Wolves come into Wednesday’s slate having lost five of their past six games and in possession of the league’s worst net rating (-9.0). Minnesota is also on the heels of a 130-108 loss to this very same Golden State Warriors squad back on Monday.

Will things be any different for the rematch? Let’s break it all down from a Showdown perspective.

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA Showdown $200K Fadeaway [$50K to 1st] (MIN vs GSW)


SHOWDOWN STRATEGY

Captain’s Picks

Stephen Curry ($17,100 CP) - It’s not exactly the most shocking Captain’s pick in the world, but the Warriors really aren’t a team with many high-ceiling fantasy assets. In fact, Curry and Andrew Wiggins ($8,400) are the only two players on the payroll averaging more than 25.0 DKFP per game so far this season. On top of that, while Curry’s managed to exceed 40.0 DKFP in 12 of his 17 starts, the rest of Golden State’s roster has combined to reach that same threshold just three times total. It doesn’t hurt that the former MVP has been running hot lately, either. Curry’s averaged 29.0 points per contest dating back to Jan. 20, a span of time where the guard is sporting an eye-popping .690 true shooting percentage. Curry should find little resistance going against an underwhelming Minnesota defense.

Naz Reid ($11,400 CP) - If D’Angelo Russell ($10,000; quad) misses his third-straight game this evening, your options at Captain really open up as the Timberwolves rotation is essentially thrown into chaos. Still, in such an event, you’ll likely find yourself choosing between Reid and Malik Beasley ($8,200), who’s coming off dropping 30 points and 41.25 DKFP in Monday’s meeting. Despite that performance, I’ll side with the big man. Reid is averaging 13.3 points and 5.1 rebounds as a starter in 2020-21, while he’s also producing more DKFP per minute in the possessions he and Beasley have logged without Russell and Towns this season (1.13). Reid’s also managed to exceed 30.0 DKFP in each of his past three contests, with his ability to grab rebounds and a 5.3% block rate proving far more valuable than Beasley’s limited secondary skill set.


UTIL Plays

Ricky Rubio ($6,800) - Sticking Curry at the top of your lineup then surrounding him with mid-tier Timberwolves seems like the obvious strategy on this slate, and Rubio perfectly fits into that build if Russell is once again unavailable. While the veteran has struggled to find his own shot so far this season — he’s managed just two field goals total in his past two starts — Rubio’s been his usual self when it comes to distribution, dishing out 8.7 assists per 36 minutes with a notable 32.8% assist rate. In fact, Jordan McLaughlin ($4,600) is of a similar archetype and could also be viable in an increased role with Russell out; however Rubio’s minutes are much more secure than his teammate’s, which translates to a safer floor.

Anthony Edwards ($5,400) - Look, there’s a lot to suggest that Edwards is having a terrible rookie season. To wit, the 19-year-old’s .436 true shooting percentage is the third-worst qualified figure in the entire league. Still, there’s always something alluring about volume, even if it turns out to be empty volume more often than not. Edwards leads Minnesota in minutes played (206) and usage rate (30.5%) without Russell and Towns on the court in 2020-21. Basically, we know that Georgia product is going to get a chance to be productive tonight, it’s just a matter of a few shots falling. The six times this season that Edwards has been able to shoot at least 40% or better (on a minimum of 10 field goal attempts) he’s averaged 25.3 DKFP. I’m not saying it’s likely to happen, yet the forward does possess more upside than your standard $5K Showdown asset and that has to be acknowledged.


Fades

James Wiseman ($6,200) - Wiseman has been a bit of a DFS enigma so far this season, as his efficiency numbers have been amazing, yet his overall role with the Warriors has left a lot to be desired. Well, things don’t appear to be getting any better with the latter-half of that statement, as Wiseman was relegated to the bench on Monday. The rookie did produce 13 points as a reserve, but it was only the second time this season that Wiseman’s logged fewer than 16 minutes and failing to cross that meager threshold in a blowout seems like bad news. I doubt Steve Kerr’s rotation will change too drastically on Wednesday, which will likely leave Kevon Looney ($1,600) as the superior dollar-for-dollar play.


THE OUTCOME

I’m not ecstatic about how publicly backed the Warriors are sure to be this evening, especially considering both these teams are 5-5 ATS over their past 10 games. However, Golden State has averaged 112.7 points per 100 possessions across its last five contests and I’m just not sure how Minnesota plans to keep pace — especially if Russell is eventually ruled out.

Final Score: Golden State 119, Minnesota 104

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA Showdown $200K Fadeaway [$50K to 1st] (MIN vs GSW)


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theglt13) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.


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