The NBA is the Wild West right now given COVID-19 and the league’s health protocols, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t edges to be had. We had a profitable 2-1 Monday and 2-1 Wednesday, moving article plays along to 30-21 on the season. Let’s see what pops on Friday’s board.
Follow along on Twitter — @julianedlow — for what we hope to be another great season, as some plays jump out late due to news, particularly in the player prop market. Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Drummond’s seen his minutes take a slight hit since the James Harden trade — which added Jarrett Allen to Cleveland’s rotation — but he’s still been equally dominant in limited minutes. In fact, he’s pulled down 16 or more boards in three of his last four games, without playing more than 28 minutes in a single outing. The matchup against the Knicks is perfect, as they’re one of the worst teams containing opposing centers, which we’ve seen highlighted in past matchups. Drummond pulled down 17 boards in the first meeting between these teams, and then he followed it up by cleaning the glass for 23 in their matchup just a couple weeks ago.
Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks: Julius Randle OVER 22.5 points (-110)
Like the Knicks, the Cavs are just a brutal team in containing opposing bigs. This number is right on Randle’s average, but he has an above average matchup. Randle’s played in both previous matchups against Cleveland, and scored exactly 28 points each time around. Usually I try to focus more on injury news for these props, but some massive names have already made news today, which pulled a couple games off the board.
After cashing five in a row for us, Gordon’s prop finally went up from 4.5 to 5.5, but we bet it on Wednesday at +115 anyway. Of course, he landed on exactly five, as the adjustment cost us a win. I was hoping the failed cash would bring this number back down to 4.5, but instead we just get better plus money on the 5.5. I’m willing to go back here one more time and see if we can cash. Gordon had a pretty awful game when he missed by the hook Wednesday, and he did finish with at least six assists in each of the five game prior.
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