It’s been a minute since we’ve gotten a college hoops best bets article, with NFL in full swing and the NBA starting up. But now that we’re into the postseason in football, I’ll be trying to get back on more of these, especially in light nights in the NBA. Tuesday is one of those five-game cards in the NBA where not much is jumping out, but I do think we have a few CBB plays to consider on Super Tuesday. Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Be sure to follow along on Twitter, as news changes quickly, and live plays present themselves — @julianedlow.
The Tar Heels are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games, but I think that’s getting us a shorter number here against an extremely shorthanded Miami team. Both teams are actually winless in ACC play, with UNC dropping its first two games to NC State and Georgia Tech. The Tar Heels desperately need this win, and even though the Hurricanes are in a similar boat, there’s not much they can do about it without three of their best players. Chris Lykes remains out, which really hurts Miami’s offense. UNC has the size and depth to crush the Hurricanes on the glass, and if the game gets physical, Miami only has so many bodies right now. UNC historically handles the spot in Miami well, going 7-2 in the last nine trips, and going 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings between the two schools.
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The Spartans finally got a bounce-back win against Nebraska last time out, but I’m not convinced they are ready for this level of competition. The game against Nebraska ended a three-game losing streak for MSU, losing all three as favorites. But Sparty didn’t cover against the Huskers, keeping an 0-7 ATS streak alive for Tom Izzo and company. Rutgers is a supremely talented team, on a 5-1 ATS run, despite playing without some of its key cogs. The Scarlet Knights have those main ingredients back on the floor, and should be ready to go for this game. This team played Iowa within two points and beat Illinois outright, and both schools are playing significantly better than MSU right now. Rutgers hasn’t backed down from MSU in recent years, going 4-1 ATS in the last five matchups. I like Rutgers outright, and I’ll probably go 60/40 on spread and moneyline in this game.
Kansas is coming off a historically bad loss at home to Texas, 84-59. Time to bounce-back against a team being overvalued at home. The Jayhawks have only had one true road test thus far, but won and covered as underdogs in front of fans at Texas Tech. Meanwhile, TCU has had all its success away from home, earning two road wins and three neutral site wins (and covering all five). At home the Horned Frogs have been a mess, going 0-5-1 ATS. They are 4-2 outright, but lost their only two games against legitimate competition — by four to Oklahoma and nine to Providence.
I was able to lock this one at -4.5 and would wait to bet it. Marcus Garrett is a game-time decision for the Jayhawks. If ruled out, this line should come down. If he plays, I think locking -6 would be as high as I’d bet it.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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