Sunday kicks off with what I believe will be the best game of this three-game slate. So be ready to get let down the rest of the day. Whatever, I’m here to help you build them DraftKings Showdown lineups for this contest.
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Big Play Payday
Opt-in and if there is a 20-plus yard TD in the fourth quarter of Sunday’s BAL vs. TEN game, get an entry to a $100K NFL Classic DFS contest! See the DraftKings Big Play Payday page for more details!
Notable Injuries
Baltimore Ravens: WR Willie Snead IV (questionable)
Tennessee Titans: None! (showoffs)
EDITOR’S NOTE: Willie Snead will be active for today’s game vs. the Titans.
SHOWDOWN STRATEGY
Captain’s Picks
Lamar Jackson ($18,000 CP) — So let’s just get the obvious answer out of the way and talk about Jackson real quick. I’m sure I don’t have to sell you on the idea of using him, but truly, this is a great spot for him. I would absolutely LOVE if the Ravens fell behind early in this one because it would force Jackson to throw against a putrid secondary. The Titans offer one of the worst pass rushes in the league, which would allow Jackson to work with a clean pocket. In that scenario, he has a 77% adjusted completion percentage, 7.4 YPA and 21 of his 26 touchdowns. Granted, he only threw for 186 yards in the prior loss to this team but he’s been much, much better as of late. Add this with his clear rushing upside and taking 32% of the red zone carries and Jackson is, of course, one of the best captains you can take.
Corey Davis ($12,000 CP) — Overall, for the price, Davis is my favorite captain. For a guy that just went for 5/39/0 against the Texans, this may seem a bit odd. However, the stars align for him to have a big game. The Titans are underdogs in this one, so the hope is the Titans revert to a pass-heavy script. Davis draws the best matchup of the receivers against CB Marcus Peters. In Week 11, Davis went for 5/113/0 and 19.3 DKFP. Of those receptions, Davis caught all three against Peters for 83 yards, 38 of which were after the catch. In coverage, Peters is allowing a 62.8% catch rate and 13 YPR. This is a sneaky spot for Davis and with the idea the Ravens win this one, I love Davis to see some heavy usage.
Other to consider: Derrick Henry ($17,400)
Value Plays
Gus Edwards ($4,400) — Edwards is always someone in play even with how much J.K. Dobbins ($10,000) is used. These two are essentially in a split despite the massive difference in salary. If you look at their numbers over the past month, Dobbins has taken 12 carries in the red zone but Edwards is right behind him at 11. The ownership is going to be heavily on Dobbins so if Edwards can sneak one in, you’d have quite the advantage against the field. I also don’t hate the idea of using both in a lineup to really differentiate yourself. In the end, we shouldn’t have such a massive gap in salary between these two players for the extremely similar role they play.
Miles Boykin ($4,800) — Boykin has been on the field a lot more as of late and with the potential absence of Willie Snead IV ($5,200), he could see an even larger bump. Over the past three weeks, Boykin has averaged 55% of their offensive snaps but has only seen six total targets. Two of those targets, however, came in the red zone and lead to his third and fourth touchdowns of the season. We all know how bad this Titans secondary is and for as little as Boykin has played, he is averaging 14 YPR. If Snead is ruled out, I’d like this play a lot more but would reel in my excitement if Snead is active. Regardless, Boykin is a worthy target if you’re in need of some salary relief.
Geoff Swaim ($600) — This could be a total overreaction on my part but I thought it was at least interesting that Swaim led the tight ends in total snaps in a must-win game. Jonnu Smith ($6,200) wasn’t far behind, playing 57.7% compared to the 64.8% of Swaim but still, it was something to note. Swaim is only running a route on 56.5% of his snaps so he could easily see nothing in this game but the Ravens are also a team that struggles defensively against this position. It’s a total dart throw that will allow you to fit in some of these studs. At the least, especially in large-field tournaments, Swaim hitting is the difference-maker you need to even sniff the top of the leaderboard.
Fades
A.J. Brown ($9,400) — This is a risky fade and not one I’m exactly proud of. I am worried about Brown’s health coming into this game, as he didn’t participate in any drills on Thursday and Friday and instead studied film. He’s dealing with both a knee and hand injury, which isn’t great either. If the Titans are falling behind, they’ll naturally need to throw but I’m hoping to cover my bases with Davis. Brown gets the tougher matchup against CB Jimmy Smith, who has been one of their best corners, allowing just a 55.2% catch rate and 7.3 YPR. Smith is expected to return after being out a few weeks and it’s a big boost to this secondary. All of this put together is having me side with fading Brown, even if I don’t like it.
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