Happy Saturday, everyone. Barring any postponements, we will get a four-game slate to target tonight, and DraftKings continues to offer huge tournaments for DFS players. Below are some of my favorite targets at each position.
Head on over to the DraftKings Sportsbook to place a bet on Sunday’s Lakers-Nuggets promo! If 1 point is scored, you win!
Steph Curry, Golden State Warriors vs. Brooklyn Nets, $10,100
The marquee matchup of Saturday night is the Nets visiting the Warriors. If you didn’t know by now, Brooklyn has been terrible defensively since putting their new big three of Kevin Durant ($9,600), James Harden ($10,400) and Kyrie Irving ($9,200) together. They have ranked 28th in defensive rating since making the blockbuster deal for Harden and Curry should torch them on national TV tonight.
In his last start, the two-time MVP went off for 67.5 DKFP against the Magic on Wednesday night. Curry is producing 58.9 DKFP per game in his past six and is the player I want to pay up for tonight.
Other Options: James Harden ($10,400), Kyrie Irving ($9,200)
John Wall, Houston Rockets vs. New York Knicks, $7,200
Recently, Wall has been very consistent, supplying 37 DKFP per game over his past eight. During this time, he has scored at least 33.75 DKFP in every start, and Wall’s workload will increase tonight with Victor Oladipo (foot) sidelined.
When the former Pacer has been off the court since joining Houston, Wall’s usage has been at 33.6% and his assist percentage 41.3%. Both of these mark team-highs for this scenario and this New York club the Rockets are facing just played last night. Their season rank of 5th in defensive efficiency isn’t appealing, but with only four games on the schedule, Wall is a tough value to avoid at only $7,200.
Other Options: Jordan Clarkson ($5,400), Derrick Rose ($4,800)
Malcolm Brogdon, Indiana Pacers vs. Atlanta Hawks, $7,500
Brogdon finds himself in a great spot tonight against the Hawks. This Atlanta squad had a game last night and Trae Young ($9,800) is one of the worst defensive players in the league. Of the 85 eligible point guards, the 22-year-old ranks dead last in real defensive plus-minus this season, and the Hawks are giving up the second-most DKFP per game to opposing point guards in their last ten.
Brogdon is in the midst of a very strong 2020-21 campaign (39.8 DKFP per game) and over 40 DKFP is definitely obtainable in this plus matchup.
Other Options: Donovan Mitchell ($8,100)
Eric Gordon, Houston Rockets vs. New York Knicks, $5,800
Whenever either Oladipo or Wall is out, Gordon has to be considered. When Oladipo has been out of the lineup this season, Gordon’s usage has jumped a team-high 6.1%, and he has amassed 34.6 DKFP per game.
Gordon should effortlessly exceed five-times value, and we can comfortably pair him and Wall together in lineups on Saturday.
Other Options: Mychal Mulder ($3,300, if starting. He started the second half Thursday and scored 20.25 DKFP against the Magic)
Jimmy Butler, Miami Heat vs. Utah Jazz, $8,300
Heading to Utah is never an easy task, but Butler has just been playing too well to ignore him tonight. Since returning from a nine-game absence, the forward is supplying 49.8 DKFP per game with a 27.8% usage rate. Over this seven-game stretch, he has scored over 40 DKFP every night and has surpassed 50 DKFP four times.
Goran Dragic (ankle) will miss his fourth straight, which keeps Butler in more of a point guard role for the Heat, and I fully expect him to record over 40 DKFP tonight against this stout Jazz defense (third in efficiency). Plus, with all the stars from the Warriors and Nets gaining most of the attention, Butler should end up getting overlooked in GPPs.
Other Options: Andrew Wiggins ($6,400)
Kelly Oubre Jr., Golden State Warriors vs. Brooklyn Nets, $6,300
The Warriors have been using smaller lineups with both Kevon Looney (ankle) and James Wiseman (wrist) out, and Oubre Jr. has been one of the main beneficiaries. In these past five games with the pair of centers missing, Oubre Jr. has generated 37.1 DKFP with 34.3 minutes per game.
His price has yet to adjust to his recent production and Oubre Jr. is a strong mid-tier target from this shootout vs. the Nets.
Other Options: Sterling Brown ($3,700)
Draymond Green, Golden State Warriors vs. Brooklyn Nets, $6,700
Similar to Oubre Jr., losing Looney and Wiseman has greatly improved Green’s numbers. He is averaging 39.75 DKFP per game over these past five. In Green’s previous five, he was only amassing 25 DKFP per game.
Also, this matchup is projected to be very tight, with the Nets as only four-point favorites on the DraftKings Sportsbook. Green has thrived when the Warriors have been a part of competitive tilts this season, scoring 35.1 DKFP in the eight games that have been decided by single digits. The defensive specialist is very affordable at $6,700 and Green brings ceiling close to 50 DKFP tonight, particularly if he can notch a double-double.
Other Options: Domantas Sabonis ($9,000)
Danilo Gallinari, Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers, $4,500
Gallinari should be low owned tonight after letting down many DFS players on Friday (8.0 DKFP vs. the Spurs). San Antonio blew out the Hawks and all of the key Hawks saw limited work. Gallinari only logged 17 minutes off the bench, after seeing 30 and 25 in his prior two.
He posted 23.25 DKFP per game in those previous contests and should get back into the 25-30 minute range against a Pacers defense that is allowing the 10th-most DKFP per game to opposing small forwards. Gallinari showed us his floor last night, and I wouldn’t go overboard with your exposure to the forward, but the veteran could easily beat this cheap price tag if his shot is falling this evening.
Other Options: Jae’Sean Tate ($4,700)
Kevin Durant, Brooklyn Nets vs. Golden State Warriors, $9,600
Durant was forced to miss the past three games because of the NBA’s health protocols, but he will return tonight to face off with his old friends in Golden State. It has already been announced the 32-year-old will not have a minutes limit tonight and he should be ready to put on a show in this revenge spot.
The Warriors have vastly improved defensively after a weak start to the season, currently sitting at sixth in efficiency, but we are talking about a well-rested Durant at a sub $10,000 salary. Before the fiasco vs. the Raptors last Friday when he couldn’t start then came off the bench and then wasn’t allowed to return because of COVID-19 contact tracing, the two-time NBA Finals MVP was producing 54.5 DKFP per game over his previous eight.
Other Options: Julius Randle ($8,700), Rudy Gobert ($7,100)
Nerlens Noel, New York Knicks vs. Houston Rockets, $3,900
Noel should draw the start tonight in place of Robinson and is core value for this four-game slate. He was the player that started for Robinson in the second half of last night’s win vs. the Wizards, and the center is collecting 0.9 DKFP per minute this season. With DeMarcus Cousins on the other side for Houston, Noel’s size will be needed and 25 minutes is a safe projection for the 26-year-old.
He is scoring 22.4 DKFP per game when given over 20 minutes this year, and Noel is a necessary punt for this short slate.
Other Options: DeMarcus Cousins ($6,500), Kelly Olynyk ($5,200)
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Hunta512) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
21+ (18+ NH). CO/IL/IN/IA/NH/NJ/PA/TN/VA/WV/MI only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.