Let’s dive into some of my favorite wagers on DraftKings Sportsbook for Sunday’s NBA slate.
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The Hornets are currently dealing with a host of absences. Cody and Caleb Martin are both out due to health and safety protocols, and P.J. Washington is doubtful for the same reason. Gordon Hayward was also a late addition to the injury report with a back injury, but he’s currently listed as probable.
EDITOR’S NOTE: Gordon Hayward (back) has been ruled out for tonight’s game vs. the Spurs.
That said, those absences could work as a positive for the Hornets.
They started LaMelo Ball, Terry Rozier and Devonte’ Graham in their last contest for just the second time this season, and that trio has been absolutely devastating when on the court together. They’ve averaged a ridiculous 132.6 points per 100 possessions over 93 minutes, and they’ve held their own on defense as well. Overall, this trio has posted a Net Rating of +23.8 over a solid 93-minute sample size.
Expect those three to start together again today, which could spell trouble for the Spurs.
New Orleans Pelicans (-4.5) @ Detroit Pistons:
The Pistons are a team that I’m actively looking to fade moving forward. They have embraced a youth movement recently, and while that’s great for the long-term outlook of the team, it is going to yield some poor results this season.
Mason Plumlee is also listed as questionable after missing the past two games with an injury. The team has increased their Net Rating by 2.4 points per 100 possessions with Plumlee on the court this season, so his absence would be felt if he’s forced to miss another contest. Even if he’s active, the Pistons will likely limit his playing time in favor of last year’s No. 16 pick Isaiah Stewart.
The Pelicans are not a particularly impressive team – they rank just 18th in Net Rating – but they should be able to take care of business vs. Detroit. The Pelicans are also one of the sharps’ favorite targets early in the day, and they’ve received 89% of the spread dollars in this matchup.
Orlando Magic @ Phoenix Suns (-10):
I’m going to roll the dice here on the Magic as large underdogs. Phoenix is definitely the superior team, but Orlando has started to get some much-needed reinforcements recently. Michael Carter-Williams returned to the lineup in their last game and he gave the team some quality minutes at the point guard position. He finished with 21 points, seven rebounds and seven assists, and he has been easily their top point guard option this season. The Magic have increased their Net Rating by 19.6 points per 100 possessions with MCW on the court, which puts him in the 99th percentile in that department.
The two-man combination of Carter-Williams and Nikola Vucevic should be enough to keep the Magic competitive on most nights, and Terrence Ross still provides excellent scoring off the bench. Evan Fournier, Cole Anthony and Al-Farouq Aminu are all listed as questionable, so it’s possible that at least one of them could return to the lineup as well.
Overall, 10 points just feels like too many with the Magic starting to get a bit healthier.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is mlamarca) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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