The Oilers enter this game with seven wins in their last nine games. Their offense is rolling after an uneven start and they now sit fourth in goals per game at 3.5 with a power-play that is still lagging behind last year’s success rate. Edmonton lost a shootout to Calgary earlier this year but have solidified their goaltending of late with the return of Mike Smith. The Flames were lucky to escape with a split over the Canuck and their goaltending has started to show cracks of late with Jacob Markstrom allowing eight goals on his last 61-shots faced. The Oilers at even money here look solid.
Top Line Stacks
Carolina Hurricanes vs. Chicago Blackhawks
Sebastian Aho ($6,500) – Brock Mcginn ($4,000) – Teuvo Teravainen ($5,200)
The Carolina offense is flying right now as they enter this game third in goals per game in the NHL and are now up to eighth in xGF% (expected goal rate). They’ve been doing it with balanced scoring but lately their top players have been coming to life. Sebastian Aho comes in averaging four SOG over his last four games and has five points over that same stretch as well. The two-time 30+ goal scorer should have a little more positive regression in his future soon and has been working well with new linemate Brock McGinn who represents good value here now that he’s being given first line minutes. McGinn has six points in his last four games and while that pace won’t continue forever, as long as he’s priced at 4k and playing top-line minutes we shouldn’t worry too much about when the regression for him is coming. The Hawks make for a terrific opponent here for any top-line as they allow the most shots against per game and have given up the third-most scoring chances against so far in the league. Stack the Canes with confidence here.
Superstar to Target
Connor McDavid, Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames ($8,800)
As mentioned above, the Oilers offense has been one of the most consistent in the league over the past few weeks and they come into tonight with a great opportunity to put some serious space between themselves and Calgary. McDavid has been racking up assists but is goalless in five games now and has been outshined by teammate Leon Draisaitl ($8,200) of late. Expect that to change against the Flames though. McDavid has 16-goals in 21 career games vs. Calgary and his season long shooting percentage has now dipped a couple of percent below his 14.8% career mark. Don’t be shocked if we get an outbreak here and don’t be shy to pay up for the Oilers stud who should be happy to have broken the 500-career point mark in his last game.
Value on Offense
Jesse Puljujarvi, Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames ($4,900)
As mentioned above numerous times already, the Oilers offense is humming of late and part of their recent success centers around the fact they’ve finally got some upside out of former 4th overall pick Puljujarvi, who is playing alongside Connor McDavid on the Oilers first line. The five points in 10-games may not look that impressive but Pool Party is creating chances every night and you can literally see the confidence building as he gets more playing time alongside McDavid. He comes in with six SOG and two points in his last two games. Don’t be shocked if he keeps his point streak going tonight.
Tanner Pearson, Vancouver Canucks vs. Winnipeg Jets ($3,800)
The Jets Canucks game is a good one to target for fantasy purposes as both of these teams are bottom-10 in terms of shots allowed and scoring chances allowed. Pearson has got off to a slow start for the Nucks but is still playing a top-six role every night alongside Bo Horvat ($5,000). He’s playing over 16 minutes per game, averaging 2.6 SOG over his last 10-games and gets a nice matchup with the Jets who give up 32.3 SOG per game. There’s lot of good mid-tier value to pick from in this game but, at under 4k, Pearson represents the cheapest of the bunch.
Chris Driedger, Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings ($7,900)
The Panthers are the second-biggest favorites on the slate tonight at -177 on the DraftKings Sportsbook as of writing so their goalie situation is one that bears watching. Driedger looks to be getting the nod tonight and thus far he’s been a good fantasy start averaging 17.8 DKFP per game. The Panthers have been a solid team in 2021 but they do give up some shots and Driedger has seen 30 or more shots against in five of his six starts now. He’s a solid cash option here against the low scoring Red Wings.
Connor Hellebuyck, Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks ($7,700)
There’s a lot of risk reward on both sides of the ice in this Vancouver-Winnipeg game as both teams cede well over 30-shots against per game. The Canucks goaltending has shown some flashes of fantasy goodness this year but timing when their goalies are going to show up is maddening. Hellebuyck continues to thrive in Winnipeg’s poor defensive system though and enters this game averaging 15.1 DKFP while having made 40 or more saves in two of his last four starts. With the Jets and Nucks right around a pick-em in the odds, he’s a great GPP candidate tonight for DFS.
Value on Defense
Juuso Valimak, Calgary Flames vs. Edmonton Oilers ($3,600)
Valimak has been given a promotion onto the first pairing for Calgary and since he’s taken on the added responsibility he’s become a much more consistent fantasy producer. The Fin has now played over 20-mins in each of his last two games and landed four SOG in his last outing while getting some exposure to the Flames PP1. Calgary doesn’t have a dominant power-play quarterback so that special teams role could continue for Valimak in the short-term. He gets the Oilers tonight which is a great matchup for any offensive-minded player as they allow the fourth-most shots against and have the 10th-worth penalty-kill unit at the moment.
Tyson Barrie, Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames ($6,200)
Barrie’s DraftKings price has really moved up from the low 4k region where he started the year, but it’s for good reason. The former Leaf is now thriving as an Oiler and comes into this game with 12-points in his last 10-games and averaging 3.6 SOG per game in that same span. While he may not be the greatest defensive-defenseman in the world the Oilers still play him over 23 mins a night as they have become accustomed to shootouts. Barrie’s essentially a nightly consideration given the power-play exposure he gets with McDavid and Draisaitl and, on this short slate, stacking him with one of the two Oiler studs for some nice GPP correlation makes a ton of sense.
Josh Morrissey, Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks ($4,800)
Morrissey is still splitting some of the power-play duties with Neal Pionk ($5,200) but Morrissey has taken over more regular PP1 duties and has been the more consistent scorer of the two so far in 2021. The sub-5k defenseman has assists in four straight games and is averaging well over 1.0 SOG and blocked shots per game while also playing over 23 mins per game on the season. The Canucks allow the second-most shots against and have given up the most scoring chances against in the league thus far. 4.8k is way too cheap for an offensive-minded defenseman who is playing big minutes like Morrissey is every night.
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