It’s Tuesday, and we’ve got six games on tap in the NBA, including two promising nationally televised affairs. With the Nets and Clippers playing in what should be a thriller, and exciting teams like the Wizards back in action, let’s survey for some player props, totals and sides to take on DraftKings Sportsbook. You can follow me on Twitter (@KennyDucey) for any late adds.
Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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The Nets’ defense has been absolutely preposterous, and in big games like this it has generally come back to bite them. The Clippers’ offense has been the third-most efficient in the NBA, while the Nets have been fourth-worst in the league with a 118 Defensive Rating ever since James Harden came to town. Because of this, the total has shot up to a whopping 242, so there is no value there. There is value, however, in grabbing the better of the two defensive sides to roll over a Nets team that should be in for a rude awakening, picking up momentum of late by beating the short-handed Heat and weak Hawks and Thunder teams. The Clippers won’t have Patrick Beverley, but Reggie Jackson has been fantastic in place of the injured point guard, and they will have Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. I like them to pick up this win.
Boston won’t have Marcus Smart for this one, but it still should possess a defense that should be too much for this struggling Warriors offense to overcome. Boston’s top-10 defense has actually improved by four points per 100 possessions with Smart off the floor according to NBA.com, so there is at least some hope here that Brad Stevens’ stoppers can continue on without one of their key players.
The Warriors, on the other hand, are all out of sorts offensively. Stephen Curry has shown flashes — like his 62-point outing earlier in the year — but he’s still on the whole very uncomfortable taking on all of the scoring, which he’s being asked to do. Golden State ranks 23rd in offensive efficiency due in large part to the baptism by fire going on with so many new players, including James Wiseman, who is still very raw as an NBA prospect. I expect the more experienced Celtics to run away.
This just so happens to be the meeting of the two teams that managed to win over the weekend from down five in the final 10 seconds, and it’s only fitting the line is close to a pick ‘em. Consider this, though: Portland will be playing its third game in four days, and already looked tired and worn down before that stretch. Injuries to CJ McCollum, Jusuf Nurkic, Derrick Jones Jr. and Robert Covington have forced just about everyone to step up and contribute meaningful minutes, and though the latter has returned it won’t change the fact that a lot of these players have considerable mileage on them from the past couple of weeks.
The Blazers’ defense allowed the Bucks to have pretty much whatever they wanted on Monday, and I didn’t see anything that would lead me to believe that we’ll get a strong effort on that side of the floor on the second night of a back-to-back. Washington, meanwhile, is just starting to hit its stride with Russell Westbrook fully healthy and trending in the opposite direction. The Trail Blazers will be very dangerous when they’re fully healthy and rested, but it’s just not a good time right now to back them.
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