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Fantasy Hockey Cheat Sheet: Top DraftKings NHL DFS Picks, Lineup Strategy for February 27

Geoff Ulrich gives his top NHL picks and lineup advice for Saturday’s fantasy hockey slate on DraftKings, which starts at 7:00 p.m. ET.

NHL: Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks Bob Frid-USA TODAY Sports

Saturday features a 10-game NHL slate starting at 7:00 p.m. ET. In this article find DFS advice for DraftKings plus some DraftKings Sportsbook bets to target as well.

Set your DraftKings lineups here: NHL $60K Sticks [$15K to 1st]

DraftKings Sportsbook

Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders under 5.5 goals -113

The Penguins have tightened things up a bit after starting the season by allowing a ton of goals. In their past five games, only once has a Penguins total gone over 5.5 for the entire game and that was against Washington the last time out when a 10-minute rally late in the game pushed it over. The Isles remain one of the best defensive teams in the league, allowing just 2.3 goals against. This is a solid number to take the under at 5.5.

Edmonton Oilers +105 Money line vs. Toronto Maple Leafs

There are simply too many variables in play here for the Leafs tonight. They’ve got key players like Jake Muzzin ($4,700; face) and Auston Matthews ($9,300; wrist) who are dealing with injuries and a goaltender starting who hasn’t played in a month. The Oilers have now won 11 of their past 13 games and rank first in the league in goals per game. Taking Edmonton at plus-money here is worth the risk considering Matthews’ injury and questionable status. Even if he plays, Edmonton’s been playing well and could be in line here for the upset.

Top Line Stacks

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Detroit Red Wings

Carl Soderberg ($3,300) – Patrick Kane ($8,300) – Alex DeBrincat ($7,600)

The Blackhawks have been one of the biggest surprises in the NHL this season. They enter this game tied with the Red Wings for third in the Central Division and are getting extremely good production from their special teams. Chicago ranks second in power-play effectiveness and will be going up against a Detroit penalty kill here that ranks third-to-last in the league. This is a great matchup to target the Blackhawks’ PP1, and I suggest you take advantage. Kane and DeBrincat have been reunited at even strength and enter this game with 13 points between them in their past four games — four points of which have come on the power play.

While they’re often centered by Pius Suter ($4,600) at even strength, Soderberg has taken his spot on the PP1 and been a great fantasy value over the past few games. Soderberg has now potted power-play goals in two of his past three games and has five points, overall, in his past three games. With this trio, you get great correlation with Kane and DeBrincat in addition to a great value in Soderberg who will let you fit in another stud and also provide more exposure to the Blackhawks’ power-play tonight, which is in a great spot. The Chicago PP1 is worth stacking here.

Superstar to Target

Leon Draisaitl, Edmonton Oilers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs ($8,300)

We have a mix of games on the slate, some with limited offensive potential and others — like Edmonton vs. Toronto — which should provide plenty of offensive fireworks. The Oilers and Leafs have a 6.5 O/U attached and the biggest implied total of any game tonight. Edmonton has been on a roll of late offensively and enters this game as the league leader in goals per game. Draisaitl has accumulated 12 points over his past 10 games and yet has still been overshadowed by his teammate Connor McDavid ($9,200), who has eight points over his past three games. That has created a buy-low opportunity, though, for Neon Leon, who has lit up the Leafs this year with four goals and six points against them in their past four meetings. You can stack the two Oilers studs if you want, but the better value here likely is with Draisaitl tonight, who is the forgotten man among all the McDavid/Matthews chatter and buildup. Look for him to pick up the pace against a Leafs team that has given up the fifth-most scoring chances against and is banged up at multiple positions.

Value on Offense

Pierre-Luc Dubois, Winnipeg Jets vs. Montreal Canadiens ($4,200)

Dubois has integrated quickly into the Jets’ lineup and is now skating on the top-line with Blake Wheeler ($5,900) and Mark Scheifele ($7,500). The former Blue Jacket has an incredible five points already through just two games with the Jets and skated over 17 minutes in his second game with the club. There’s clearly no slow path being taken here by Winnipeg, which desperately needs Dubois to fill at least some of the hole vacated by Patrik Laine up front. Dubois has obliged thus far and faces a Montreal team that has allowed five or more goals against now in three of their past four starts. Dubois remains an elite value until his price gets up over $5K.

Martin Necas, Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers ($4,000)

Necas is an underrated player I like targeting when his price hovers around this range. He’s now playing alongside a skilled offensive center in Vincent Trocheck ($5,800) and is seeing consistent power-play exposure every night as well. Over his past 10 games, he’s clearly seen his usage go up too as he’s averaged over 17 minutes of ice time as Carolina has given more responsibility to his line. The Panthers have been solid this season, but they’re still more of a neutral team defensively and make for a decent matchup for Necas at this price. Play him as a one-off or pair with the aforementioned Trocheck for a solid contrarian stack.

Stud Goalies

Jake Allen, Montreal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets ($7,700)

Allen will be between the pipes tonight for the Canadiens, as Carey Price takes a couple of days off to work on his game. Allen’s been the best goalie for Montreal this year, so from a one-game perspective, this is good news for DFS. On the season, he has a 93.2% save percentage and a 2.14 GAA. The Canadiens have been terrible of late, but they’ve got no help from their starter (Price), so the move to Allen here could spark them. They’re still the favorites here as well going off at -132 on DraftKings Sportsbook, making this DraftKings price look solid for Allen.

Kaapo Kahkonen, Minnesota Wild vs. Los Angeles Kings ($8,100)

Kahkonen is confirmed as starting for the Wild after Cam Talbot grabbed them the win last night against the Kings. Los Angeles had won six straight before their loss last night, and their offense definitely seems like it could be in for some regression. Despite averaging 2.9 goals per game, the Kings rank second-to-last in expected goals rate (xGF%) and don’t have a ton of elite scorers up front. Kahkonen has played great of late, earning four straight wins and he has a .917 save percentage on the year. He’s a great pay-up option here.

Value on Defense

Josh Morrissey, Winnipeg Jets vs. Montreal Canadiens ($3,900)

Morrissey continues to see time on the Jets’ PP1 as he’s now gobbled up over 60% of the ice time on the power play for the Jets over the past three games. His power-play exposure hasn’t led to any goals yet — he comes in with nine assists over 19 games — but his peripheral production makes him an excellent target at this price point. He’s now averaged 2.3 SOG and 1.6 blocked shots over his past 10 games and hit the blocked shot bonus twice over that span. Eventually the 25-year-old will add a goal or two if he continues to get this kind of solid ice time and power-play exposure, so keep rostering him when he’s at these kinds of levels.

Power-Play Defensemen

Tyson Barrie, Edmonton Oilers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs ($6,500)

Barrie has turned into a great target for those wanting to get exposure to the Edmonton offense. The former Leaf is going up against his old team here and comes in averaging over 23 minutes per game over his past nine games. So far, nine of Barrie’s 18 points have come on the power-play, and he’s going up against a Leafs team here which ranks 16th in penalty-kill efficiency and has also given up the fifth-most scoring chances against in the league. Considering the Leafs may also be starting a goalie in Jack Campbell ($7,400) who hasn’t started in over a month, this is a good time to target the Oilers PP1.

Jeff Petry, Montreal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets ($6,200)

Petry and the Canadiens have had a tough go of it lately, as they’ve now lost six of their past seven games. Petry’s production has dropped off a tad, but he still has seven points over his past 10 games and had seven of his 18 points on the season have come with the man advantage. Winnipeg comes in with the 13th-worst penalty kill in the league and allowed the Canadiens to convert on one of their two power-play chances in the meeting between these two teams last Thursday. Despite all of Montreal’s woes, their offense isn’t a horrible target here as Winnipeg also gives up the eight-most shots against per game. Petry is at a decent price point now, considering his massive ice time and power-play exposure and he makes for a good one-off or stacking target tonight.

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is wavegoodbye) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.