There are only two games in the NHL on Wednesday, and the matchup between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Detroit Red Wings is one of the biggest mismatches to date on the schedule. The Lightning are huge favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook and will be popular DraftKings fantasy targets tonight. The Boston Bruins are a small road favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook, but the Philadelphia Flyers have won four straight, so it will probably be a close contest.
Top Line Stacks
Bruins at Flyers
Brad Marchand ($7,600) - Patrice Bergeron ($7,900) - David Pastrnak ($8,300)
Through two games since Pastranak’s return, Boston’s No. 1 line has combined for four tallies and five helpers. The trio connected for an elite 5.83 goals and 15.1 high-danger scoring chances per 60 minutes through the previous three seasons while also dominating five-on-five possession with a 57.9 Corsi For percentage, so the recent production is just more of the same from the Bruins’ big three. With four consecutive wins, this could also prove to be a letdown spot for the Flyers. It’s also worth noting that Philadelphia owns a 24th-ranked 75.7% penalty-kill percentage.
Lightning vs. Red Wings
Blake Coleman ($3,400) - Yanni Gourde ($3,500) - Barclay Goodrow ($2,900)
Those looking for savings can turn to Tampa Bay’s third line as an upside source of cap relief. The trio has clicked for a respectable 3.12 goals and an elite 20.79 high-danger scoring chances per 60 minutes at five-on-five this season. Gourde, Coleman and Goodrow have also driven five-on-five possession with a 59.8 Corsi For percentage. The matchup also checks out with Detroit losers of six straight and allowing 25 total goals during the skid.
Ondrej Palat ($5,400) - Brayden Point ($7,200) - Steven Stamkos ($8,100)
The cap hit is obviously higher for Tampa Bay’s No. 1 line, but Point, Stamkos and Palat are also the more consistent and proven scorers with 5.7 goals per hour for the campaign. While they’ll also likely be more popular targets in the noted favorable matchup, the trio definitely warrants considering on Wednesday.
Superstar to Build Around
Steven Stamkos, TB vs. DET ($8,100) - If looking for a standalone target from Tampa Bay’s top line and No. 1 power-play unit, Stamkos probably fits the bill best. In a shallow player pool, it’s always important to hone in on players with a high-floor, high-ceiling combo, and Stamkos is logging 3:52 of power-play time per game, beginning 63.9 percent of his five-on-five shifts in the offensive zone and has attempted 30 shots — 10 have been high-danger chances — through seven games this season.
Value on Offense
Claude Giroux, PHI vs. BOS ($4,300) - The veteran’s 7.7% shooting percentage has positive regression ahead of it, even if his shot volume is down this season — just 13 shots (28 attempts) through 10 games. Giroux has been able to buoy his fantasy production through the assist column, though, and he remains a go-to offensive player for the Flyers. The Bruins are stingy, but that’s probably built into Giroux’s salary.
Nick Ritchie, BOS at PHI ($3,600) - With eight points — four goals and six with the man advantage — Ritchie is off to an excellent start, and his salary is probably too low given his top-six role, spot on the No. 1 power-play unit and recent production. As noted, Philadelphia hasn’t been strong shorthanded, so Ritchie checks out as a cap-relief target with upside.
Andrei Vasilevskiy, TB vs. DET ($8,200) - This salary probably isn’t prohibitive enough to overlook Vasilevskiy. So, while he’s likely to be a popular target, it’s not out of the question to differentiate your lineup at other positions and roll out the Russian netminder. After all, Detroit has scored just 11 goals during its six-game losing streak, and Vasilevskiy sports a dominant 5-1-1 record, .925 save percentage and 2.14 GAA for the campaign.
Carter Hart, PHI vs. BOS ($7,700) - The 22-year-old netminder has won consecutive games while stopping 59 of 62 shots, and Hart is also 23-4-1 on home ice with a .938 save percentage and a 1.82 GAA dating back to last season. Additionally, while Boston is a road favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook and an admirable opponent, the Bruins have only scored 14 five-on-five goals through nine games this season.
Value on Defense
Mikhail Sergachev, TB vs. DET ($4,100) - It’s been a quiet start for Sergachev, but he does offer a respectable fantasy floor because of his big minutes (22:14 per game with 2:10 on the power play) and favorable matchup. Additionally, over the past three years, he did post a top-25 1.6 points per 60 minutes among all regular blueliners, so the offensive track record is there.
Victor Hedman, TB vs. DET ($7,400) - This salary could keep Hedman’s popularity in check, but it probably shouldn’t. Hedman’s been a force with two tallies, six helpers, five power-play points and three multi-point showings this season. Additionally, his 50 shot attempts pace the Lightning, and he’s locked into a huge role averaging a career-high 26:16 of ice time per game.
Charlie McAvoy, BOS at PHI ($5,000) - After a slow start, McAvoy has hit stride over the past five games and collected all eight of his points during the stretch. He’s logging career-high minutes with an average of 24:35 per game (2:18 with the man advantage), and he’s topped three minutes of power-play time in three of the past four games. As noted, the Flyers own an underwhelming 75.7% penalty-kill percentage this season, too.
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