It’s Tuesday, and we’ve got seven games on tap in the NBA, including two promising nationally televised affairs. With some teams playing the same opponent for a second straight game, and injuries scattered throughout the slate, there should be some lines worth exploiting here. Let’s survey DraftKings Sportsbook for some player props, totals and sides to take on this slate. You can follow me on Twitter (@KennyDucey) for any late adds.
Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Don’t get me wrong, I so want to go contrarian here, fade the steam and take the Rockets, but this team is simply in disarray at the moment. John Wall is still working his way back to 100% after missing time with an injury, and now Christian Wood has been shelved for at least a week due to an ankle issue. That’s left Houston vulnerable down low, rating as one of the worst rebounding teams and paint defenses in the NBA in the two games since Wood went down. New Orleans, on the other hand, has the third-best rebounding rate in the NBA this season thanks to the contributions of Steven Adams, and some great slashers in Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram. Simply put, this is an awful matchup for Houston, and New Orleans should make it four against-the-spread wins in a row.
Miami has been the worst team against the spread in the NBA this season at 8-14-1, while the Knicks sit at a respectable 12-13 on the year thanks to some great play against top competition. Now, the Heat are being asked to cover a giant spread.
This opened with the Knicks at +8 and is already down a point and a half. Sunday’s meeting between these two teams came down to the wire, and I expect much of the same on Tuesday, with the Knicks even perhaps winning this game. Their perimeter defense came as advertised, holding Jimmy Butler to 3/11 from the field, and the Heat as a whole shot just 37.1% from three, which has been a common theme against the Knicks. New York should be able to neutralize Miami’s lethal three point attack once again here, and considering they won’t have Derrick Rose for this game, not a whole lot should really be different two days later. Look for the Knicks to get the explosive Immanuel Quickley involved more here after they’ve seemingly given up on trying to ignite Elfrid Payton (3/12 FG on Sunday).
The Warriors don’t have their starting center in Kevon Looney, or their backup center in James Wiseman, and key reserve forward Eric Paschall is still dealing with an injury. Draymond Green is being asked to do it all for this team, posting a season-high 20.2% usage rate in Golden State’s last game against the Spurs, and he’s delivering in a big way. In the past four games, Green has averaged around 34 minutes, and racked up 5.5 points, 11.8 assists and 8.3 rebounds, and he’s had two 15-assist games in that span. You’re always playing a dangerous game with a guy who refuses to score the basketball, but his contributions have been undeniable of late. It helps that the Spurs currently sit right near the bottom third of the NBA in defense over the past 10 games, and the Warriors having the second-fastest pace in the league so far should set Green up for an abundance of opportunities to rack up points, rebounds and assists.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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