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Fantasy Basketball Picks: Top DraftKings NBA DFS Targets, Values for March 10

Matt LaMarca gives his top studs and values at each position for Wednesday’s fantasy basketball slate on DraftKings, which starts at 8:00 p.m. ET.

The NBA gets back in action on Wednesday, albeit with a small two-game slate. The DraftKings slate starts at 8:00 p.m. ET, so let’s break down some of the top studs and values at each position to help you build your DraftKings lineups.

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $1M Return From Break [$250K to 1st]


Point Guard

Stud

Luka Doncic, Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs ($10,700) – There aren’t a ton of positions to pay up at on a two-game slate, but point guard is one of the exceptions. Doncic has been one of the best players in fantasy since the start of last season, while Russell Westbrook ($10,100) has played as well as anyone over the past month.

That said, I’m giving a slight edge to Doncic on today’s slate. His price has come down a bit recently, while Westbrook has been priced up by more than $1,000 over the past month. Selling high on Westbrook to buy low on Doncic is a fundamental tenet of NBA DFS.

Other Options – Russell Westbrook ($10,100), Ja Morant ($7,800)

Value

Derrick White, San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks ($5,000) – White has barely played this season. He’s been limited by both injuries and health and safety protocols, with the latter keeping him out of the lineup since Feb. 14th. However, White has been fantastic when he’s been on the court. He’s averaged 1.03 DKFP per minute this season, and he scored 43.5 DKFP over 26.9 minutes the last time he played. In other words, he can rack up fantasy points very quickly. He should be able to pay off his salary vs. the Mavericks even if he plays only 24-28 minutes.

Other Options – Jalen Brunson ($5,700), Tyus Jones ($3,100)


Shooting Guard

Stud

Bradley Beal, Washington Wizards at Memphis Grizzlies ($9,400) – Beal put together a marvelous first half for the Wizards, and he’s currently leading the league in scoring. He’s also been one of the most consistent producers in fantasy this season, and he’s scored at least 46.0 DKFP in seven of his past eight games.

He was priced at $9.9K in his final game before the All-Star break, so he’s very appealing at just $9.4K vs. the Grizzlies. This game is expected to be played at a break-neck pace — both of these teams rank in the top eight in pace this season — and the Wizards’ implied team total of 120.25 is the top mark on the slate by a sizable margin.

Value

Dillon Brooks, Memphis Grizzlies vs. Washington Wizards ($5,400) – If you’re not paying up for Beal, you don’t really have any choice but to pay down at the position. No other shooting guard on DraftKings costs more than $5.7K.

Brooks’ playing time has been wildly inconsistent this season, but he’s coming off 34.7 minutes in his last outing before the All-Star break. If he sees that much playing time vs. the Wizards, he’s almost certainly underpriced given his average of 1.00 DKFP per minute. The Wizards are also a dream matchup, ranking first in pace and 27th in defensive efficiency.

Other Options – Josh Richardson ($4,900), Tim Hardaway Jr. ($4,800)


Small Forward

Stud

DeMar DeRozan, San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks ($8,000) – Small forward seems like the weakest position to pay up at tonight. DeRozan is your best bet if you want to go that route, but $8K isn’t a particularly appealing salary for him with the team at close to full strength. He’s been at his best this season with the Spurs shorthanded, but they will be as healthy as they’ve been all season vs. the Mavericks.

Value

Justise Winslow, Memphis Grizzlies vs. Washington Wizards ($3,900) – Winslow has struggled to live up to expectations in the NBA, and this will be just his 18th game over the past two seasons. That said, he’s actually been a solid fantasy producer in his first six games with the Grizzlies. He’s averaged 0.88 DKFP per minute, so he doesn’t need a ton of playing time to pay off his minimal salary.

Other Options – Dorian Finney-Smith ($4,500), Deni Avdija ($3,100)


Power Forward

Stud

Kristaps Porzingis, Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs ($8,600) – Porzingis is another player who is low on the priority list in terms of players to pay up for. He has a higher ceiling than DeRozan given his average of 1.25 DKFP per minute this season, but he’s scored 37.75 DKFP or fewer in three of his past four games. He’s also unsurprisingly dealt with injuries this season, so the Mavericks have been very careful with his minutes.

Value

Brandon Clarke, Memphis Grizzlies vs. Washington Wizards ($5,200) – No one at power forward really stands out as a slam dunk option, but Clarke probably has the best upside for his price tag. He’s averaged 0.97 DKFP per minute this season, which is an excellent mark at just $5.2K. His playing time has been inconsistent — he’s played as many as 34.2 minutes and as few as 16.1 minutes over his past four games — but he has the potential to smash his current salary if he hits his minute’s ceiling.

Other Options – Davis Bertans ($4,400), Maxi Kleber ($4,300)


Center

Stud

Jonas Valanciunas, Memphis Grizzlies vs. Washington Wizards ($7,100) – Outside of the point guard position, paying up for Valanciunas makes the most sense on today’s slate. He’s averaged a stout 1.30 DKFP per minute this season, and he should be able to crush against a soft Wizards’ interior. In addition to struggling defensively, they also rank just 22nd in team rebound rate.

Value

Robin Lopez, Washington Wizards at Memphis Grizzlies ($3,400) – Another factor working in Valanciunas’ favor is that there aren’t a ton of appealing values at center. You can play Clarke at center — which is definitely viable — but Lopez might be the next best option. He’s coming off 26.2 minutes in the Wizards’ last game, and he could see a similar workload tonight to combat the size of Valanciunas. Lopez has averaged 0.81 DKFP per minute this season, so he should be able to pay off his salary with that much playing time.

Other Options – Xavier Tillman ($3,500)

Set your DraftKings fantasy basketball lineups here: NBA $1M Return From Break [$250K to 1st]


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is mlamarca) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.


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