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Fantasy Hockey Cheat Sheet: Top DraftKings NHL DFS Picks, Lineup Strategy for March 16

Neil Parker gives his top NHL picks and lineup advice for Tuesday’s fantasy hockey slate on DraftKings, which starts at 7:00 p.m. ET.

New York Rangers v Pittsburgh Penguins Photo by Joe Sargent/NHLI via Getty Images

There are seven games in the NHL on Tuesday with the Avalanche, Hurricanes and Wild the biggest favorites on the docket. Additionally, the Sabres, Capitals, Bruins, Penguins and Lightning are all playing their second game in consecutive nights. The marquee matchup of the evening is definitely the Tampa Bay-Dallas game — a rematch of last season’s Stanley Cup Final.

Set your DraftKings fantasy hockey lineups here: NHL $70K Twine [$20K to 1st]


Top Line Stacks

Avalanche vs. Ducks

Gabriel Landeskog ($6,500) - Nathan MacKinnon ($9,100) - Mikko Rantanen ($8,000)

The Avalanche are the largest favorite on the docket Tuesday, so expect their No. 1 line to be popular targets. MacKinnon, Rantanen and Landeskog have clicked for a respectable 4.74 goals per 60 minutes this season, and there’s also probably some positive regression ahead after they posted a 5.26 mark over the previous two seasons. It’s not a tough matchup, either. Anaheim sports an underwhelming 77.1% penalty-kill rate and has surrendered 3.21 goals per game this year.

Hurricanes at Red Wings

Nino Niederreiter ($5,800) - Sebastian Aho ($6,900) - Martin Necas ($5,300)

The Red Wings have allowed the fourth-most goals per game in the league and have the third-worst penalty-kill rate (71.1%). With the plus-matchup, Carolina’s new-look top line warrants attention. Aho, Necas and Niederreiter have combined for 4.79 goals and 14.36 high-danger scoring chances per 60 minutes and also provide exposure to both Hurricanes’ power-play units.


Superstar to Build Around

Evgeni Malkin, PIT vs. BOS ($6,000) - The Bruins have allowed four goals in consecutive games and are missing a couple key defensemen (Brandon Carlo and Jeremy Lauzon) after losing stalwarts Zedno Chara and Torey Krug during the offseason. As a result, Boston might actually check out as a sneaky matchup to target. Plus, Malkin has found his form with four goals and eight assists during his active eight-game point streak, and his salary is manageable.


Value on Offense

Brock Nelson, NYI at WAS ($5,300) - This is a reasonable price to target Nelson at. He’s attempted 14 shots through the past two games, including seven individual high-danger scoring chances, so the current form is also excellent. The Capitals have allowed a healthy 3.04 goals per game this season, too.

Kieffer Bellows, NYI at WAS ($3,200) - Currently skating atop the depth chart at five-on-five and with the man advantage, Bellows has scored three goals through the past two games. He’s affordable, and as noted, Washington isn’t an intimidating opponent.

Victor Rask, MIN vs. ARI ($2,800) - This is an opportunity to grab inexpensive exposure to emerging star Kirill Kaprizov ($6,200). Rask has clicked with linemates Mats Zuccarello ($6,300) and Kaprizov for 6.36 goals per 60 minutes this season, so considering how much lower the center’s salary is, there’s definite profit potential.


Stud Goalies

Philipp Grubauer, COL vs. ANH ($8,500) - The Ducks have scored the second-fewest goals per game in the league, and Grubauer has an elite 15-7 record, .923 save percentage, 1.91 GAA and four shutouts for the season. The only concern is his salary makes value seeking a priority with your skater selections.

Semyon Varlamov, NYI at WAS ($7,400) - The veteran has won four consecutive games with just six goals allowed and a .946 save percentage, improving his overall numbers to 13-4-3 with a .929 save percentage and 2.03 GAA. Even with Washington checking out as an poor matchup (3.5 goals per game), Varlamov’s worth considering at his low salary given his current form. Plus, the Islanders have surrendered the third-fewest goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 and have the 10th best penalty-kill rate in the league.


Value on Defense

Matt Grzelcyk, BOS at PIT ($4,600) - Projected to continue quarterbacking the No. 1 power-play unit, Grzelcyk scored and registered eight shots his last time out. Pittsburgh has the 23rd-ranked penalty-kill rate, too, so the matchup isn’t daunting.

Dmitry Orlov, WAS vs. NYI ($2,500) - It’s been a disappointing season for Orlov, and his ice time is down to an average of just 18:46 per game. Still, at minimum price, he’s definitely in flier territory. After all, he’s been a proven cross-category contributor for the better half of a decade.


Power-Play Defenseman

Dougie Hamilton, CAR at DET ($6,900) - A high-floor and high-ceiling target, Hamilton paces all regular defensemen in shot attempts per 60 minutes and his 2.07 points rank eighth. With the noted favorable matchup against Detroit, expect the 27-year-old defenseman to be popular as an addition to Carolina stacks or as a standalone asset.

Samuel Girard, COL vs. ANH ($5,600) - The current power-play quarterback has been able to pile up fantasy points with Cale Makar on the shelf with an upper-body injury. Girard has collected 10 points, 24 shots and 16 blocks while averaging 25:07 (2:59 on the power play) since returning from the COVID-19 protocol list on Feb. 20.

Set your DraftKings fantasy hockey lineups here: NHL $70K Twine [$20K to 1st]


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is naparker77) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.


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