Happy Tuesday! After a loaded eight-game slate on Monday, we’re following up with a seven-game card in the NBA on Tuesday with plenty of fun matchups, including two nationally-televised affairs. With so much to choose from, let’s survey DraftKings Sportsbook for some player props, totals and sides to bet. You can follow me on Twitter (@KennyDucey) for any late adds.
Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Okay, this one’s going to be tough to stomach, but I like the Knicks to cover in Philadelphia. The reason? The Knicks are on the second night of a back-to-back, where they are 4-4 ATS this season, playing in Philly, where the Sixers are 14-6 ATS.
So, why the Knicks? Well, the Sixers are missing Joel Embiid, and when he’s been off the floor this season the game plan has been simple: Shoot threes. Philly’s shooting 2.1 more three-pointers per 100 possessions with Embiid off the floor this season, but scoring a whopping 12.1 fewer points, due to fact that it’s shot just 33.4% from three without the big man. Philly’s first game since Embiid went down with a knee injury went well, but that result was a bit skewed by 51.7% shooting from three. The Knicks have the best three-point defense in the league, so that, in combination with some regression, should make life difficult on the Sixers offense.
Bah gawd, is that the Celtics’ music? The once-mighty against the spread C’s have quietly reeled off five wins in six games to regain their footing in the East, and though just three spreads have been covered over that span, Boston has been favored in all but two of its past 15 games. Getting points here at home will present a bit of a different ATS spot.
The Celtics have only failed to cover in one of their four home games in which they were the underdog, and have been an impressive 11-6 ATS in Boston, as well. The team’s finding its groove and the Jazz, conversely, have now failed to cover in five of their last six.
This, like the Knicks pick, is one where you’ll just have to close your eyes and place the wager. Nothing about fading LeBron James and backing the nine-win Timberwolves feels particularly good, but I see it as the correct side to take in the Tuesday nightcap.
Los Angeles, in general, has been a pretty terrible team against the spread this season. Anthony Edwards is coming off a career-high 34-point game, and doesn’t seem able to be stopped at the moment. Los Angeles is now missing Marc Gasol and Alex Caruso on top of Anthony Davis, which has really hurt its defense as of late. The Lakers, who sit atop the NBA in defensive rating, are just ninth over the last four games. Caruso’s absence should be particularly felt as the Lakers’ guards try to slow down the rookie Edwards, and Minnesota should be able to score enough on the fatigued Lakers to put up a good fight.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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