Here are some plays that jump out on DraftKings at each position for Monday’s eight-game NBA main slate, along with some strategies unique to this slate.
Worth Paying Up For: Donovan Mitchell, Utah Jazz at Chicago Bulls ($8,700)
Unlike Sunday’s slate, the point guard position isn’t littered with studs. With that said, Mitchell is a more than fine option. He’s averaging 1.23 DKFP per minute and has gone for at least 50 DKFP in four of the past six games, with a high of 60. It’s a pace-up environment, as the Bulls play at the sixth-fastest pace in the league, so there should be plenty of opportunities for fantasy goodies. There is a slight risk of a blowout, as DraftKings Sportsbook has the Jazz favored by 8.5 points, the most on the slate, but the Bulls are at home and, if Zach LaVine ($8,400) and company can play inspired ball, a ceiling outcome for Mitchell is within the range of outcomes.
Best Bang For Your Buck: Devonte’ Graham, Charlotte Hornets at San Antonio Spurs ($4,800)
LaMelo Ball is done for the season. Sad face. As a result, Graham should slide back into the starting role he was keeping warm for Ball earlier in the season. As a starter this season, Graham was averaging 32.8 minutes per game. In six games as a reserve, the playing time cratered to 19.2 minutes. Graham is averaging 0.89 DKFP per minute. As a starter, he eclipsed the 30-DKFP threshold 11 times, with two 40-burgers.
Worth Paying Up For: Fred VanVleet, Toronto Raptors at Houston Rockets ($7,600)
VanVleet is averaging 1.11 DKFP per minute and 36.8 minutes per game. He’s played 41 and 42 minutes in the past two games, though. More often than not, he will play around 37-38 minutes and score in the 40-DKFP range. Now, the shooting efficiency can abandon him at times, as it did three games ago when he shot 2-for-13 from the field and ended with 25.25 DKFP. On the flip side, he can get scorching hot like the 77.75-DKFP performance when he shot 17-for-23. The Rockets play at the fifth-fastest pace in the NBA and boost the fantasy points per minute to shooting guards by 17.65% above league average, so the matchup is a good one.
Best Bang For Your Buck: Malik Monk, Charlotte Hornets at San Antonio Spurs ($4,000)
More LaMelo Ball fallout. On the season, Monk is averaging 0.93 DKFP per minute and 21.3 minutes per game. When injuries have befallen the Hornets’ backcourt, Monk has played in the high-20s to low-30s. In those 11 games, he’s scored at least 30 DKFP in six games with two 40-burgers. He is the microwave off the bench and often garners a usage rate around 30, so if he doesn’t score the DKFPs, it’s not for a lack of trying as he is going to huck and chuck.
Worth Paying Up For: Anthony Edwards, Minnesota Timberwolves at Oklahoma City Thunder ($7,200)
There are some good options up top at small forward today, but I like Edwards because I feel that he can similar production at a much cheaper price. Edwards is averaging 0.95 DKFP per minute and 30.1 minutes per game on the season. Since Malik Beasley has been out due to a suspension nine games ago, the minutes have spiked up to 35.2, the shot attempts have gone from 16 to 22.4, and the usage rate has been 31.2%, 40.6%, 30.3%, 35.4%, 31.9%, 31.4%, 32.5%, 32.6% and 28.5%. He’s gone for 30 DKFP in each of those games with two 40-burgers and a 60.25-DKFP explosion two games ago.
Best Bang For Your Buck: Bogdan Bogdanovic, Atlanta Hawks at Los Angeles Clippers ($3,900)
Since returning from a 25-game absence, Bogdanovic has played eight games. He played 16 minutes in his return and the minutes have slowly been creeping up. Well, in the past two games, Bogdanovic has played 29 and 30 minutes. He may be ready to play 30 minutes or more on a consistent basis. On the season, he’s averaging 0.81 DKFP per minute but he hasn’t been at full strength all year. Last season with the Kings, Bogdanovic was averaging 0.94 DKFP per minute.
Worth Paying Up For: Domantas Sabonis, Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks ($9,000)
Sabonis is averaging 1.26 DKFP per minute so he’s a good play regardless, but Giannis Antetokounmpo is out, leaving Sabonis as the stud at the position. In addition, the matchup gets better for Sabonis as he will now have Bobby Portis ($4,100) defending him. Please and thank you. There is some risk, though, as Mike Budenholzer can put P.J. Tucker in to defend Sabonis, making the matchup a little more difficult, but Sabonis should still get busy as he has a big size advantage. Sabonis is coming off two sub-40 DKFP games but they were against a tough Heat squad. Prior to that, he went for over 60 DKFP twice in three games. Sabonis put up 59 DKFP against the Bucks back on Feb. 3, and that was with Giannis in the lineup.
Best Bang For Your Buck: Bobby Portis, Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers ($4,100)
Portis is averaging 1.11 DKFP per minute. The arrival of P.J. Tucker ($4,000) could complicate matters, especially if Portis gets torched by Sabonis, but Tucker only played 12 minutes in his Bucks debut, so Portis should still get plenty of run. In two starts this season, Portis averaged 32.4 minutes and put up 26.5 and 42.75 DKFP.
Worth Paying Up For: Karl-Anthony Towns, Minnesota Timberwolves at Oklahoma City Thunder ($9,500)
Towns may not be the No. 1 option every night due to the emergence of Edwards, but he still gets his. Since Beasley got suspended, he’s scored a low of 28.9 DKFP but that was a game that the Timberwolves won by 30 points. In the other six games, Towns scored at least 30 DKFP in every game with games of 51.7, 59 and 64 DKFP. So, there’s some more variance compared to his consistent history, but the access to ceiling still remains intact. He is currently the highest-projected player on the slate.
Best Bang For Your Buck: Ivica Zubac, Los Angeles Clippers vs. Atlanta Hawks ($5,100)
Serge Ibaka will miss his fourth consecutive game due to a back injury. In his absence, Zubac has played 35, 35 and 25 minutes, the latter due to a blowout, and in those games, he put up 32.75, 32.75 and 21.75 DKFP. On the season, he’s averaging 1.01 DKFP per minute and he should get plenty of minutes in this one. Additionally, the Hawks boost the fantasy points per minute to centers by 3.75% above league average.
Overall Lineup Strategy
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With no Giannis on the slate, there will be no players priced above $10,000 and only three above $9,000. There is also some really good value so a stars-and-scrubs lineup construction is definitely viable. The mid-tier has plenty of options as well, so the paths to victory look plentiful today.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is sontzu) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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