Happy Tuesday! After a loaded eight-game slate on Sunday, we follow that up with a six-game card in the NBA on Tuesday which should pack a real punch, with a pair of nationally-televised affairs. With so much to choose from, let’s survey DraftKings Sportsbook for some player props, totals and sides to bet. You can follow me on Twitter (@KennyDucey) for any late adds.
Here’s what jumps out to me on DraftKings Sportsbook.
I’ll start out by saying this: Yes, the Lakers have been atrocious against the spread this season, but that’s because they’ve been big favorites almost every time they’ve taken the court. Well, this is a different story. With no LeBron James and Anthony Davis, the book is finally doubting L.A. with some severity, and I think this is the perfect buy-low spot. Not only are the Lakers a great road team, checking in at 11-9 ATS, they also match up very well with the Pelicans. New Orleans has made its mark on the glass this season as one of the most tenacious rebounding sides thanks to Steven Adams, and has also flexed some nice numbers scoring and defending down low. Well, in wake of all the injuries, Montrezl Harrell has stepped up in a big way as the Lakers’...best player? If there’s one guy who can compete with Adams down low, it’s Harrell, particularly with the form he’s in. I like the Lakers to cover this rather large spread.
This game reeks of an under. The under has gone 6-4 in the past 10 Suns games, while it’s been an even-better 7-3 in the last 10 games the Heat have played in. The Heat rank 27th in pace, while the Suns sit in 23rd, and both have top-seven defenses. This is a case of two slow-paced, defense-heavy teams forcing a super-low total. It won’t get low enough where I won’t take it. As an added bonus, the Heat are 25th in offensive efficiency over the past 10 games, and second-to-last with a 53.8% True Shooting percentage. If the shots aren’t falling, Miami won’t have fun driving in on Deandre Ayton. Both sides here could have under 100 points.
The way the Sixers are playing right now, you’d have no idea that they’re missing their best player. Philly’s gone 4-1 in the absence of Joel Embiid, the one loss coming by just four points at the hands of the mighty Milwaukee Bucks. Philly’s shooting has been good over the last five games at 41.3% from three, but its offense ranks just 20th in efficiency. It’s been all about the defense here, which has allowed just 98.9 points per 100 possessions since Embiid’s been out.
The Warriors counter with a lineup that’s still missing Steph Curry, though it will likely get back three of its four (I’m not counting Alen Smailagic) frontcourt players. I like Philly’s chances to run away here as the better team, despite the fact that it doesn’t like playing on the road with just an 8-10-2 record ATS in those games.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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