We’ve got a jam-packed sports day on Sunday. There’s a full MLB slate, the final round of The Masters and even WrestleMania. Of course, we also have a large selection of NBA games to choose from, with eight games starting at 7 p.m. ET or later.
Let’s dive into some of my favorite wagers on DraftKings Sportsbook for Sunday’s NBA slate.
Miami Heat (-1) @ Portland Trail Blazers:
I don’t get this line one bit. The Blazers are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back, but they’re still home underdogs against the Heat. Miami is certainly better than their record – they’ve dealt with a ton of injuries this season – but Portland owns a better record and has also been better in terms of Net Rating.
Additionally, the Heat aren’t at full strength at the moment. Victor Oladipo suffered a knee injury during Thursday’s win vs. the Lakers, and he did not travel with the team for their current four-game road trip. It sounds like he could be out of the lineup for quite a while.
Tyler Herro would be one of the most logical candidates to fill his role, but he’s also not a lock to suit up tonight. He’s currently listed as questionable with a foot injury.
On the other side, the Blazers will likely have Jusuf Nurkic back in the lineup after he rested yesterday. The Blazers have increased their Net Rating by 6.0 points per 100 possessions with Nurkic on the court this season, so he will undoubtedly help them in this matchup.
I think the Blazers should win this matchup, and they have a chance to do it in comfortable fashion.
New Orleans Pelicans (-6.5) @ Cleveland Cavaliers:
The Pelicans look like one of the preferred targets for the sharps at the moment. They’ve received just 44% of the spread bets, but those bets have accounted for a whopping 91% of the spread dollars. That means that the big bets – aka the ones that come from professional bettors – are siding with the Pelicans.
New Orleans will continue to be without Lonzo Ball, but the rest of their lineup is back in action. That includes Zion Williamson, who has been nothing short of fantastic this season. He’s been ridiculous over his past 32 games in particular, averaging 27.8 points, 7.0 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game while shooting 62.9% from the field and 42.1% from 3-point range.
He should have no problems carving up the Cavaliers in this matchup. They rank 21st in defensive efficiency and 23rd in points in the paint allowed per game, which is not a good combination against a wrecking ball like Zion. The Cavs have averaged just 107.0 points per 100 possessions over their past 31 games, so I don’t think they’ll be able to keep up.
Toronto Raptors @ New York Knicks (-3):
Reggie Bullock Under 9.5 points (-127)
Let’s finish things up with a player prop. Bullock has played a large role at times for the Knicks this season, but he’s not a huge factor in their rotation at the moment. He played just 20.5 minutes in their last game, and he’s scored eight points or fewer in each of his past two. The Knicks are essentially fully healthy at this point, and R.J. Barrett, Alec Burks, Immanuel Quickley and Derrick Rose are all ahead of Bullock in the pecking order. That simply doesn’t leave a ton of work for Bullock, despite the fact that he’s technically a starter.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is mlamarca) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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